Published on 28 Jul 2017.
Analytical contact
Ben Inn
(603) 7628 1024
ben@ram.com.my
RAM Ratings has
reaffirmed the AA2/Stable/P1 ratings of APM Automotive Holdings Berhad’s (APM
or the Group) Islamic debt programmes. The Group’s performance has largely been
within expectations and is anticipated to remain healthy, supported by its
strong market positions in the supply of key products despite margin
compression. The Group’s overall financial profile is also envisaged to stay
robust.
APM’s slightly
higher-than-expected top line in FY Dec 2016 was boosted by the better showing
of its interior and plastics division and the more rapid expansion of its
overseas operations. Nonetheless, earnings were weaker than envisaged due to
unfavourable forex-driven cost increases, one-off expenses and the higher
initial costs of the Group’s new production lines in Indonesia. In fiscal 2016,
the Group largely used internal funds to finance its investments and capex
needs.
“We expect the
Group’s operational performance to hold steady and its financial profile to
stay robust over the next 3 years. Although some of its overseas operations are
still in their gestation periods, they are on track to breaking even within a
couple of years,” points out Kevin Lim, RAM’s Head of Consumer and Industrial
Ratings. Meanwhile, APM continues to pursue merger and acquisition (M&A)
opportunities as well as business expansion abroad. We believe the Group’s
foreign operations will entail new challenges, including execution and
integration risks, although we are partly comforted by the management’s
cautious and measured approach to expansion. As these investments are likely to
be partially debt funded, a protracted gestation period may affect the Group’s
financial profile.
APM’s credit profile
continues to be supported by its position as one of the top manufacturers in
most categories vis-à-vis the automotive parts it supplies to car makers in
Malaysia. APM also enjoys established relationships with domestic vehicle
manufacturers. The Group’s Perodua seat manufacturing plant boasts among the
largest local capacities, and operates in tandem with the marque’s production
schedule. These factors, combined with APM’s technical expertise, are
significant entry barriers to other manufacturers for certain products.
The issue ratings
are also upheld by APM’s solid balance sheet, which has been underpinned by the
Group’s net-cash position and strong liquidity profile for the last 10 years.
APM has historically maintained a relatively low debt level, that came up to
RM79.61 million as at end-March 2017, with a corresponding gearing ratio of
0.06 times (end-December 2015: RM57.59 million and 0.05 times, respectively).
Its light debt load, together with a robust cashflow-generating ability, has
led to sturdy funds from operations (FFO) debt coverage levels – FFO debt
coverage in fiscal 2016 stood at 2.28 times.
“APM’s M&A
aspirations may increase its debt load over the next 3 years, depending on the
scale of investments. Nonetheless, the Group is anticipated to maintain a solid
balance sheet, remaining in a net-cash position and keeping its gearing below
0.2 times. We expect FFO to stay healthy over the same period, with FFO debt
coverage ranging between 0.5 and 1.5 times,” adds Lim.
Meanwhile, APM’s
margins are pressured by car makers that have seen their margins eroded by
fierce competition, subdued consumer sentiment and the weak ringgit. The Group’s
margins have narrowed for 4 consecutive years, albeit having improved in the
last few quarters. We also note that fluctuations in input prices and forex
rates can affect the Group’s margins. Elsewhere, APM faces concentration risk
as sales to Perodua account for 35%-40% of its top line. Further, demand for
automotive parts is highly correlated with the performance of the local
automotive industry, which generally tracks economic boom-bust cycles.
APM’s RM1.5 billion
ICP Programme (2016/2023) and RM1.5 billion IMTN Programme (2016/2036) are
rated P1 and AA2/Stable, respectively. Both programmes are subject to a
combined limit of RM1.5 billion.
Analytical contact
Ben Inn
(603) 7628 1024
ben@ram.com.my
Media
contact
Padthma Subbiah
(603) 7628 1162
padthma@ram.com.my
Padthma Subbiah
(603) 7628 1162
padthma@ram.com.my
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