Tuesday, August 22, 2017

FW: RHB | Thailand | Private Investment Returns, GDP Fastest In Four Years

 

 

 

Economic Research

22 August 2017

Thailand

 

Economic Update

 

 

 

Private Investment Returns, GDP Fastest In Four Years

 

Thailand’s GDP rose 3.7% YoY in 2Q, from +3.3% the quarter before, underpinned by the return of private investment, increased government spending and higher merchandise exports. However, private consumption eased slightly, capping some of the upside.

The latest data reinforces our belief that Thailand’s GDP would grow by 3.7% this year, from +3.2% in 2016. We view private investment as the key to unlock a more balanced growth in the coming years, with 4% as a base. Exports are expected to hold up in 2H, with economic recovery in the developed nations firming, and inflation remaining subdued. Although private consumption disappointed slightly, we envisage the slowing trend to reverse in 4Q after the cremation ceremony for the late King. 

 

Economist:  Ng Kee Chou  | +603 9280 2179

 

 

To access our recent reports please click on the links below:

 

17 August: Interest Rate Unchanged Despite Strong THB

10 August: Examining Thailand’s Changing Consumption Patterns

2 August: Energy The Key Driver Again As July CPI Ticks Up

2 August : June MPI Contracts Despite Strong Exports

1 August : Money Supply And Loan Growth Stable In June

21 July : Strong 2Q Growth Despite Slight Retreat In June

 

Economic Team

 

 

 

 

Peck Boon Soon

Chief ASEAN Economics

bspeck@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2163

Vincent Loo

Malaysia, Vietnam

vincent.loo@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2172

Ng Kee Chou

Singapore, Thailand

ng.kee.chou@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2179

Rizki Fajar

Indonesia, Philippines

rizki.fajar@rhbgroup.com

+6221 2970 7065

Aris Nazman Maslan

Malaysia, Vietnam

mohd.aris.nazman@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2184

 

 

 

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