|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share
Price:
|
MYR6.70
|
Target
Price:
|
MYR6.70
|
Recommendation:
|
Hold
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tragedy strikes
SAMUR
|
|
An ammonia leak at PCHEM's urea factory in Sipitang, Sabah
has claimed the lives of two workers and injured three others. This
will likely call for a lengthy halt to production as the authorities
carry out their investigation. The impact to our 2016 earnings is
immaterial at only 1% but 2017 could be larger at 4%. We tactically
downgrade PCHEM to HOLD as we remove the 10% premium to peers and peg
it to 16.4x 2016 PER.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FYE Dec (MYR m)
|
FY14A
|
FY15A
|
FY16E
|
FY17E
|
Revenue
|
14,597.0
|
13,536.0
|
13,143.4
|
12,420.5
|
EBITDA
|
4,650.0
|
5,036.0
|
5,962.8
|
6,158.9
|
Core net profit
|
2,790.0
|
2,754.0
|
3,273.9
|
3,350.1
|
Core EPS (sen)
|
34.9
|
34.4
|
40.9
|
41.9
|
Core EPS growth (%)
|
(11.4)
|
(1.3)
|
18.9
|
2.3
|
Net DPS (sen)
|
16.0
|
18.0
|
20.5
|
20.9
|
Core P/E (x)
|
19.2
|
19.5
|
16.4
|
16.0
|
P/BV (x)
|
2.4
|
2.2
|
2.0
|
1.9
|
Net dividend yield (%)
|
2.4
|
2.7
|
3.1
|
3.1
|
ROAE (%)
|
12.6
|
11.6
|
12.8
|
12.2
|
ROAA (%)
|
9.9
|
9.3
|
10.5
|
10.4
|
EV/EBITDA (x)
|
7.7
|
10.2
|
7.7
|
7.3
|
Net debt/equity (%)
|
net cash
|
net cash
|
net cash
|
net cash
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share
Price:
|
MYR3.98
|
Target
Price:
|
MYR4.20
|
Recommendation:
|
Buy
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growing positive
vibes
|
|
CMS’ 2Q16 net profit is expected to stage a strong
recovery, increasing 66-85% QoQ on normalization of its operations.
With MYR10b worth of Pan Borneo Sarawak Highway contracts awarded to
boost demand for its building material, CMS’ earnings growth would gain
momentum from 2017 onwards. OMS’ prospects have improved and could
provide upside to our earnings forecasts. Maintain BUY with a higher
MYR4.20 TP (+10%).
|
|
|
|
|
|
FYE Dec (MYR m)
|
FY14A
|
FY15A
|
FY16E
|
FY17E
|
Revenue
|
1,673.9
|
1,788.0
|
1,543.9
|
2,022.1
|
EBITDA
|
372.5
|
398.2
|
345.0
|
418.4
|
Core net profit
|
221.3
|
248.1
|
182.4
|
233.1
|
Core EPS (sen)
|
21.3
|
23.1
|
17.0
|
21.7
|
Core EPS growth (%)
|
23.9
|
8.5
|
(26.5)
|
27.8
|
Net DPS (sen)
|
8.5
|
4.5
|
6.8
|
8.7
|
Core P/E (x)
|
18.7
|
17.2
|
23.4
|
18.3
|
P/BV (x)
|
2.3
|
2.1
|
2.0
|
1.9
|
Net dividend yield (%)
|
2.1
|
1.1
|
1.7
|
2.2
|
ROAE (%)
|
12.8
|
13.0
|
8.8
|
10.6
|
ROAA (%)
|
8.5
|
8.2
|
5.3
|
6.2
|
EV/EBITDA (x)
|
9.8
|
14.2
|
13.6
|
11.4
|
Net debt/equity (%)
|
net cash
|
net cash
|
4.9
|
5.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share
Price:
|
MYR1.06
|
Target
Price:
|
MYR0.90
|
Recommendation:
|
Sell
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forms a JV with
EPIC
|
|
The JV with EPIC to set up a marine repair base in
Terengganu is positive in extending its operations beyond Pasir Gudang.
But, earnings impact will be minimal, in our view (e.MYR3m-5m net
profit p.a., based on its 70% stake). Overall business outlook is tough.
Order replenishment is a challenge and cash is depleting. MMHE needs a
significant order win to warrant a re-rating. Valuations are expensive.
An asset impairment exercise is not being discounted. Our TP is based
on 1x EV/order backlog.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FYE Dec (MYR m)
|
FY14A
|
FY15A
|
FY16E
|
FY17E
|
Revenue
|
2,700.5
|
2,459.0
|
1,298.6
|
1,003.1
|
EBITDA
|
248.2
|
157.9
|
88.4
|
84.0
|
Core net profit
|
173.1
|
93.3
|
41.8
|
36.8
|
Core EPS (sen)
|
10.8
|
5.8
|
2.6
|
2.3
|
Core EPS growth (%)
|
(26.8)
|
(46.1)
|
(55.2)
|
(12.1)
|
Net DPS (sen)
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Core P/E (x)
|
9.8
|
18.2
|
40.5
|
46.1
|
P/BV (x)
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
Net dividend yield (%)
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
ROAE (%)
|
6.6
|
3.5
|
1.6
|
1.3
|
ROAA (%)
|
3.6
|
2.1
|
1.1
|
1.0
|
EV/EBITDA (x)
|
10.2
|
4.8
|
10.1
|
10.5
|
Net debt/equity (%)
|
net cash
|
net cash
|
net cash
|
net cash
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEWS
|
|
|
Outside Malaysia:
U.S. Consumer prices unchanged in July as fuel costs ease.
The U.S. cost of living was little changed in July, a sign subdued
inflationary pressures will give Federal Reserve policy makers reason to
keep interest rates low. It was the first time in five months the
consumer-price index failed to advance and followed a 0.2% gain in June,
Labor Department figures showed. Excluding food and energy, prices rose
0.1%, less than projected. Inflation continues to tread below the Fed’s
goal as U.S. companies remain challenged by frugal consumers and
competition from cheaper goods made overseas. With price pressures
elusive, central bankers will be less willing to raise borrowing costs.
(Source: Bloomberg)
U.S: Housing starts climbed to a five-month high in July,
indicating the housing industry remains an area of support for the
economy. Residential starts increased 2.1% to a 1.211 million annualized
rate from 1.186 million in June, Commerce Department data showed in
Washington. Permits, a proxy for future construction, were little
changed. (Source: Bloomberg)
Germany: Investor confidence rebounded in August after the
initial shock of Britain’s decision to leave the European Union. The ZEW
Center for European Economic Research in Mannheim said its index of
investor and analyst expectations, which aims to predict economic
developments six months ahead, rose to 0.5 from minus 6.8 in July.
(Source: Bloomberg)
U.K: Inflation accelerated in July and there were signs
the weak pound will fuel further price pressures with import costs
jumping the most in more than four years. Consumer-price growth picked up
to 0.6% from 0.5% in June, the Office of National Statistics said. Input
costs surged an annual 4.3% last month, ending 32 consecutive declines,
while import prices jumped the most since 2011. (Source: Bloomberg)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other News:
Ekovest: To issue MYR3.6b Islamic bonds. The company has
signed an agreement with four local banks for the issuance of what is
described as one of the largest ringgit-denominated sukuk wakalah worth
MYR3.64b to partly fund the Setiawangsa-Pantai Expressway (SPE) project.
The 32.1-km highway, formerly known as the Duta Ulu Klang Expressway
phase 3, is estimated to cost MYR5.05b, taking into consideration the
debt service covering ratio within the construction. SPE has already
secured a 53-year, six-month concession period with the Government. The
issuance of the sukuk wakalah for the SPE will be among the largest
issuance for a new highway construction project, as well as among the
highest-rated AA-sukuk so far in 2016. (Source: The Star)
AirAsia: Continues to make a case for lower PSC charges at
klia2. The company says the differential in the passenger service charge
(PSC) between the Kuala Lumpur International Airport (KLIA) and Kuala
Lumpur International Airport 2 (klia2) should be maintained as the lower charges
at klia2 will continue to better serve a broad range of travellers. The
group’s CEO Tan Sri Tony Fernandes said there are five-star facilities
and three-star facilities in the market. Citing an example, he said if
every hotel in Malaysia is five-star, there will be very few tourists
here. It was reported that the International Air Transport Association
(IATA) and the Association of Asia Pacific Airlines have written to the
Malaysian Aviation Commission and Malaysia Airports Holdings Bhd (MAHB)
to protest the rate difference. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)
MyEG: Diversifying into foreign worker hostel
accommodation. The company is diversifying its business activities to
provide accommodation for foreign workers, starting by renting 512
accomodation units to the Melaka State Development Corp (PKNM). The
company’s recently-incorporated sub subsidiary MY EG Lodging Sdn Bhd
(MyEL) preparing to launch the business of operating hostels for foreign
workers by signing on Tuesday a three-year tenancy agreement to rent 512
accommodation units. “The signing of the tenancy will enable the company
(MyEL) to commence operations and the ccmpany will use these sites as
pilot sites for future expansion to set up more sites nationwide,” the
e-Government service provider told Bursa Malaysia. (Sources: The Star)
|
|
|
|
|
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.