WCT explained during an analysts briefing this morning that
the 1HFY16 results released yesterday were not strong as construction profits
had yet to pick up significantly. It expects better showing from the unit from
3QFY16, driven by stronger profit recognition from newly secured infrastructure
jobs. Construction profits in 1HFY16 came largely from low-margin building
jobs, which were not helped by the front-loading of certain M&E costs
associated with those jobs too.
WCT reiterated its guidance for RM2bil job wins in FY16.
YTD, it has secured RM523mil (including a 30% share of a RM1.4bil Pan Borneo
Highway package). It appeared confident to win Package V204 (viaduct guideway
from Bandar Malaysia South Portal to Kamping Muhibbah) of MRT2, we believe
worth about RM1bil. If it does not succeed, alternatively, it will pursue
Package V207 (viaduct guideway from UPM to Taman Pinggiran Putra).
In addition, it has submitted bids for two local building
jobs worth a total of RM1.5bil. For local highway projects, having lost out in
SUKE and DASH, it now puts its hope on additional packages from West Coast
Expressway. On the overseas front, WCT expects more tenders for infrastructure
projects to be called in Qatar (ahead of the 2022 FIFA World Cup) after the
summer months. WCT is keen to bid for the highway projects.
WCT said that a private placement of new shares is no longer
a priority in its on-going de-gearing exercise. It felt that the less than
significant amount of proceeds raised did not justify the earnings dilution,
given the current depressed share price. Instead, WCT hopes to raise about
RM500mil from the disposal of The Ascent, a 32-storey Class-A office tower
worth RM380mil within the Paradigm development in PJ, as well as an adjacent
service apartment block within the same development, and a commercial building
in Pandan Indah. The disposal would reduce its net debt and gearing of
RM2.15bil and 0.8x as at June 2016 to RM1.65bil and 0.6x. It is still pursuing
the listing of Paradigm Mall, PJ, and BBT Shopping Mall, Klang, under a
RM1.2bil REIT by 2Q2017. It will only embark on the IPO of its construction
unit after the REIT’s listing.
We maintain our forecasts and FV of RM1.66 which is based on
a 35% discount to its SOP, in line with our benchmark of 30-40% for property
stocks. We value WCT’s construction business at 13x forward earnings, in line
with our benchmark forward target PE of 13-15x for mid-cap construction
stocks. Maintain HOLD.
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