Wednesday, November 1, 2017

FW: RHB | Thailand | MPI Unchanged Despite Auto Slowdown

 

 

 

 

 

Economic Research

1 November 2017

Thailand

 

Economic Update

 

 

 

MPI Unchanged Despite Auto Slowdown

 

Thailand’s MPI rose 4.2% YoY in September, unchanged from the month before. Production of electrical & electronic (E&E) components and food & beverages (F&B) improved. However, gains were offset by slower vehicle and rubber & plastic product output.

Going forward, we expect manufacturing activities to ease in 4Q, hampered by a high base effect, and the delay in the iPhone X release. However, the slowdown may not be as severe as first envisaged, as F&B production is set to improve on higher tourist demand. The automotive cluster, meanwhile, may benefit from replacement demand in the US and a front-buying of small engine vehicles in China, ahead of a scheduled tax hike at the start of next year.

 

Economist:  Ng Kee Chou  | +603 9280 2179

 

 

To access our recent reports please click on the links below:

 

4 October : September CPI Surged, But Core CPI Remained Flat

2 October : MPI Gained Momentum In August, Led By Automotive

2 October : Money Supply Continues To Climb On Foreign Demand

28 September:  BoT Raises GDP Forecasts, Maintains Key Repo Rate

25 September: August Exports Jump On North Asian Demand

 

Economic Team

 

 

 

 

Peck Boon Soon

Chief ASEAN Economics

bspeck@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2163

Vincent Loo

Malaysia, Vietnam

vincent.loo@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2172

Ng Kee Chou

Singapore, Thailand

ng.kee.chou@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2179

Rizki Fajar

Indonesia, Philippines

rizki.fajar@rhbgroup.com

+6221 2970 7065

Aris Nazman Maslan

Malaysia, Vietnam

mohd.aris.nazman@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2184

 

 

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