27 November 2017
Credit Markets Weekly
Malaysia's Oct Inflation Moderates; US Tax Reform Plans Watched
SUMMARY:
¨ MYR Credit Market: Malaysia's October inflation rate lowered to 3.7% YoY and was below the forecasted rate of 4.1%; Malaysia's foreign reserves for the period of 15-Nov17 remained unchanged from the 31-Oct17 period, at USD101.5bn; Benchmarks 3y-10y MGS saw yields tightening across the curve between -16bps and -7bps with the shorter end of the curve outpacing the longer end of the curve; The MYR traded +1.07% higher against the greenback WoW to end at 4.1163/USD; Strong trading activities in the govvies space with weekly volume of MYR19.7bn, marginally above the 3-month weekly average of MYR12.8bn; In the credit trading space, trading activities remained weak as volume declined to just under MYR1.4bn WoW.
Corporate News – RAM has reaffirmed Impian Ekspresi Sdn Bhd's 10y programme guaranteed by Danajamin Nasional Berhad and 7y programme guaranteed by Malayan Banking Berhad, at AAA/Sta; MARC has affirmed the AAA/Sta rating on TRIplc Ventures Sdn Bhd (TVSB); MARC reaffirmed AAAIS rating on Gas District Cooling (Putrajaya) Sdn Bhd (GDC Putrajaya); RAM assigns AA-/Sta to Medini Iskandar Malaysia Sdn Bhd (MIMSB)'s proposed MYR1.5bn sukuk murabahah programme.
¨ APAC USD Credit Market: Shorter trading week saw USTs mixed but continue to flatten
¨ Rating Actions - Moody's upgrades Vedanta Resources PLC bonds to B2/Sta from B3/Sta; Moody's revises Doosan Bobcat Inc to Ba3/Sta from B1/Sta; S&P upgrades Powerlong Real Estate to B+/Sta from B/Sta; Fitch upgrades the rating of AIA Group Limited (AIA) to AA-/Sta from A+/Sta; Fitch upgrades the rating of AIA Group Limited (AIA) to AA-/Sta from A+/Sta; S&P lifted the Creditwatch negative on China Hongqiao Group Ltd (Hongqiao) affirming it at B-/Sta; Fitch has downgraded ratings on Sime Darby Berhad to BB+/Sta from BBB+/Sta; Fitch has also assigned BBB+/Sta on Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDP); S&P downgraded rating of Korea Resources Corp (KORES) to A/Sta from A+/Sta; Moody's assigns B1/Sta to BlueFocus Communications Group Co Ltd; Moody's assigns A2/Sta on ICBC International; S&P assigns BB+/Sta to PT Jasa Marga Persero Tbk (JM)
Table 1: Index Weekly Movements
Indices | 24-Nov | 17-Nov | Weekly Chg (bps) |
iTraxx AxJ 5y IG | 75.9 | 79.6 | -4 |
AxJ IG Spread (bps) | 161.3 | 161.4 | 0 |
AxJ HY (%) | 6.71 | 6.73 | -2 |
SOR 2y (%) | 1.44 | 1.46 | -2 |
SOR 5y (%) | 1.83 | 1.88 | -5 |
Malaysia 5y CDS | 65.6 | 69.1 | -4 |
MGS 3y (%) | 3.37 | 3.54 | -16 |
MGS 5y (%) | 3.61 | 3.76 | -15 |
MGS 7y (%) | 3.87 | 3.98 | -11 |
MGS 10y (%) | 3.91 | 3.98 | -7 |
AAA 5y Spread* (bps) | 73 | 59 | 14 |
AAA 10y Spread* (bps) | 76 | 73 | 3 |
AA 5y Spread* (bps) | 104 | 93 | 12 |
AA 10y Spread* (bps) | 111 | 110 | 1 |
Source: Bloomberg, BNM, RHBFIC *MYR-denominated bonds
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