Wednesday, November 1, 2017

FW: RHB | Singapore | Loan Growth And M3 Diverge

 

 

 

 

Economic Research

1 November 2017

Singapore

 

Economic Update

 

 

 

Loan Growth And M3 Diverge

 

Singapore’s M3, including Asian currency units, moderated to +6.4% YoY in September. In contrast, private and public demand for credit, as well as net foreign position growth, improved.

Going forward, we maintain our expectations for loan growth to reach 5.8% in 2018, from an estimated +4.2% in 2017 (+0.5% in 2016), on account of higher base effects and slower economic growth in 2H, as well as a lull in public construction activities. Nevertheless, consumer loan demand is likely to gradually rise, supported by housing loans, cushioning some of the downside. Overall, we project for M3 to grow 6.2% in 2018, from 5.6% expected in 2017.

 

Economist:  Ng Kee Chou | +603 92802179

 

 

To access our recent reports please click on the links below:

27  October 2017: IPI Remains On An Easing Trend 

16 October 2017: MAS Stoic Despite Sharp 3Q GDP Rise

02 October 2017: Loan Growth Picked Up Despite Softening M3

27 September 2017 : IPI Slows Despite Pharmaceutical Rebound

26 September 2017: August CPI Remained Muted

19 September 2017: August NODX Surged On Semiconductor, PC Demand

 

Economics Team

Peck Boon Soon

Chief ASEAN Economist

bspeck@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2163

Vincent Loo Yeong Hong

Malaysia, Vietnam

vincent.loo@rhgroup.com

+603 9280 2172

Ng Kee Chou

Singapore, Thailand

ng.kee.chou@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2179

Rizki Fajar

Indonesia, Philippines

rizki.fajar@rhbgroup.com

+6221 2970 7065

Aris Nazman Maslan

Malaysia, Vietnam

mohd.aris.nazman@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2184

 

 

 

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