Tuesday, November 21, 2017

FW: RHB | Thailand | GDP Tops 4% As Exports Surge

 

 

 

 

 

 

Economic Research

21 November 2017

Thailand

 

Economic Update

 

 

 

GDP Tops 4% As Exports Surge

 

Thailand’s GDP jumped 4.3% YoY in 3Q17 from +3.8% in the quarter before. Exports and fixed asset investments did most of the heavy lifting, respectively rising 7.4% and 1.2% YoY in 3Q17 from readings of 6% and 0.4% in the quarter before. Meanwhile, private and government consumption also contributed to the improvement, albeit at smaller magnitudes.

We maintain our belief that the kingdom’s GDP ought to grow by 3.7% this year, before accelerating to 4.2% in 2018. Private investment growth is set to gain momentum with the Government’s EEC initiative drawing a lot of interest. We believe that public investments would soon follow. Exports may slow in 4Q17 due to a high base effect from last year. Nevertheless, external demand should sustain next year. This is as conditions remain conducive for global growth. 

 

Economist:  Ng Kee Chou  | +603 9280 2179

 

 

To access our recent reports please click on the links below:

 

9 November: BoT Keeps Policy Rate At 1.5% As Economy Improved

2 November: CPI To Pick Up Following Stronger Economic Growth

1 November: Foreign Operations Offset Domestic Easing

1 November: MPI Unchanged Despite Auto Slowdown

4 October : September CPI Surged, But Core CPI Remained Flat

 

Economic Team

 

 

 

 

Peck Boon Soon

Chief ASEAN Economics

bspeck@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2163

Vincent Loo

Malaysia, Vietnam

vincent.loo@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2172

Ng Kee Chou

Singapore, Thailand

ng.kee.chou@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2179

Rizki Fajar

Indonesia, Philippines

rizki.fajar@rhbgroup.com

+6221 2970 7065

Aris Nazman Maslan

Malaysia, Vietnam

mohd.aris.nazman@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2184

                                                                                                                                    

 

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