Friday, November 24, 2017

FW: AmBank Research - Axiata Group : Flat earnings underpin M&A prospects BUY, 24 Nov 2017

 

 

STOCK FOCUS OF THE DAY         

Axiata Group : Flat earnings underpin M&A prospects                                    BUY

 

We maintain our BUY call on Axiata Group (Axiata) with an unchanged sum-of-parts-based fair value of 6.30/share, on expectations of a value-enhancing re-merger with TM which could reduce the valuation differential with its peers and re-energise its earnings prospects.

 

Axiata’s FY17F-FY19F earnings are maintained as its 9MFY17 normalised net profit of RM996mil generally came in line with expectations, accounting for 83% of our FY17F net profit and 77% of consensus. As a comparison, 9M accounted for a higher proportion of 79%-95% of FY14-FY16 normalised earnings. The group did not declare any interim dividend, as expected. Looking forward, prospects are clouded by Indonesia’s prepaid SIM card registration campaign, Bangladeshi VAT, imposition of Sri Lankan tax on transmission towers, intense price rivalry in India amid stiff price competition in the whole region. However, Axiata currently trades at a bargain FY18F EV/EBITDA of 7x, way below its 2-year average of 8.1x vs. SingTel’s 14x.

 

Others :

Eonmetall Group : On a growth path                                                                       BUY

Prestariang : Near the end of a dark tunnel                                                          BUY

Enra Group : A soft patch in 1HFY18                                                                         HOLD

Felda Global: Earnings recover in 3QFY17                                                              HOLD

Genting Bhd: Dragged by GenM                                                                               HOLD

Kian Joo: Hurt by rising material costs                                                                     HOLD

Salutica: New cableless product to underpin earnings momentum            HOLD

Genting Malaysia : Bad luck again                                                                             SELL

Oil & Gas : Higher Petronas earnings with higher E&D spending                  NEUTRAL

 

 

ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTS

Singapore : Strong growth but tame inflation

 

 

NEWS HIGHLIGHTS

Property Sector : About RM35.5b in unsold, unutilised properties in Malaysia

Construction Sector : RM2b KL-Klang busway shelved

Property Sector : Maybank initiates rent-to-own scheme

Logistics & Transportation Sector : DHL to invest RM1.5b more in Cyberjaya IT services data centre

 

 

 

 

DISCLAIMER:

The information and opinions in this report were prepared by AmInvestment Bank Bhd. The investments discussed or recommended in this report may not be suitable for all investors. This report has been prepared for information purposes only and is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities. The directors and employees of AmInvestment Bank Bhd. Bhd may from time to time have a position in or with the securities mentioned herein. Members of the AmBank Group Bhd and their affiliates may provide services to any company and affiliates of such companies whose securities are mentioned herein. The information herein was obtained or derived from sources that we believe are reliable, but while all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that stated facts are accurate and opinions fair and reasonable, we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. No liability can be accepted for any loss that may arise from the use of this report. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our judgment as of this date and are subject to change without notice.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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