Wednesday, September 28, 2016

Sime Darby: Sells E&O stake to Tham at lower price. Sime Darby, which owns a 22.2% stake in property developer Eastern & Oriental Bhd (E&O), has agreed to sell a 10% stake at a lower price to E&O group






Eco World Development | Beat expectations
Wei Sum Wong







TSH Resources | Better days ahead
Chee Ting Ong








break


COMPANY RESEARCH





TP Revision





Eco World Development (ECW MK)
by Wei Sum Wong





Share Price:
MYR1.28
Target Price:
MYR1.49
Recommendation:
Buy




Beat expectations

ECW’s 9MFY10/16 net profit (+>100% YoY) was above expectations while 10MFY16 actual sales remain on track to meet its internal sales target of MYR3b for FY16 (excluding the overseas projects). We raise our FY16-18 earnings forecasts by 20-38%. Surprise could come from potential enbloc sales at Bukit Bintang City Centre (BBCC), which will lower the overall project risk. Our new RNAV-TP is MYR1.49 (+3 sen). Maintain BUY.



FYE Oct (MYR m)
FY14A
FY15A
FY16E
FY17E
Revenue
148.4
1,712.1
3,695.5
4,763.1
EBITDA
42.3
411.9
605.2
787.1
Core net profit
7.2
44.0
134.9
253.1
Core FDEPS (sen)
2.8
2.6
4.6
8.6
Core FDEPS growth(%)
(70.4)
(6.9)
73.0
87.6
Net DPS (sen)
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.9
Core FD P/E (x)
45.2
48.5
28.0
14.9
P/BV (x)
1.0
1.0
0.8
0.9
Net dividend yield (%)
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.7
ROAE (%)
2.2
2.5
3.9
6.4
ROAA (%)
1.2
1.2
1.6
2.3
EV/EBITDA (x)
15.8
8.4
8.0
6.4
Net debt/equity (%)
60.5
37.5
37.8
30.4










Company Update





TSH Resources (TSH MK)
by Chee Ting Ong





Share Price:
MYR1.86
Target Price:
MYR1.95
Recommendation:
Hold




Better days ahead

FFB output has bottomed in 2Q16 for the year but strong recovery is only likely to be in 4Q16. TSH is focused on lowering its net gearing ratio to 0.8x on slowing expansion plans. We make no change to our earnings forecasts. Trading at 18.4x 2017 PER, TSH remains a HOLD with an unchanged TP of MYR1.95 based on 19x 2017 PER, its historical mean.



FYE Dec (MYR m)
FY14A
FY15A
FY16E
FY17E
Revenue
1,079.9
798.9
1,232.7
1,294.4
EBITDA
229.4
159.0
178.8
226.1
Core net profit
132.8
82.0
100.5
136.2
Core EPS (sen)
9.8
6.1
7.5
10.1
Core EPS growth (%)
19.5
(38.0)
22.6
35.5
Net DPS (sen)
2.5
2.0
2.2
3.0
Core P/E (x)
18.9
30.5
24.9
18.4
P/BV (x)
2.1
1.8
1.7
1.6
Net dividend yield (%)
1.3
1.1
1.2
1.6
ROAE (%)
na
na
na
na
ROAA (%)
5.3
2.8
3.0
3.9
EV/EBITDA (x)
18.4
25.8
22.8
18.1
Net debt/equity (%)
74.5
88.1
90.1
84.6








NEWS


Outside Malaysia:

U.S: Home prices in 20 cities rose 5% YoY in July; according to S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller data released. Property values of 20-city index followed the 5.1% YoY rise in June. National home-price gauge increased 5.1% YoY from 12 months earlier. On a monthly basis, the seasonally adjusted 20-city gauge was little changed. (Source: Bloomberg)

U.S: Consumer confidence hits nine-year high on job optimism in September, according to a report from the New York-based Conference Board. Confidence index increased to 104.1 (forecast was 99.0), the highest since August 2007, from a revised 101.8. Present conditions gauge rose to 128.5, also highest since August 2007, from 125.3. Measure of consumer expectations for the next six months climbed to 87.8, highest since October, from 86.1. Share of those who said jobs were plentiful rose to 27.9, highest since July 2007. (Source: Bloomberg)

China: Yuan borrowing costs in Shanghai rose to a seven-week high as China’s central bank pulled funds from the financial system for the second day in a row. The one-month Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate climbed to 2.74%, the highest since Aug. 4, according to the National Interbank Funding Center. The fixing was released after the nation’s monetary authority drained a net CNY 95.1b (USD 14.3b) from the financial system, adding to Monday’s CNY 245b withdrawal that was the biggest in six months. The four-week Shibor has advanced for the 10th consecutive day, the longest run of increases since June, amid signs that policy makers want to discourage the excessive use of borrowed money to buy assets such as bonds. (Source: Bloomberg)

China: Profits of industrial corporations jumped the most in three years, adding to evidence of continued stabilization in manufacturing and boosting prospects for their ability to repay debt. Industrial profits rose 19.5% YoY in August to CNY 534.8b (USD 80.2b), the National Bureau of Statistics said. That completes August data that showed new credit, industrial output, fixed-asset investment and retail sales picked up and beat analysts’ estimates. (Source: Bloomberg)





Other News:

Sime Darby: Sells E&O stake to Tham at lower price. Sime Darby, which owns a 22.2% stake in property developer Eastern & Oriental Bhd (E&O), has agreed to sell a 10% stake at a lower price to E&O group managing director Datuk Seri Terry Tham than the price they agreed on in early June. SD Nominees and PSSB had agreed to revise the sale price of the stake to MYR323.3m or MYR2.45 per share in E&O. The price for the convertible warrants remains at 30 sen per warrant. This compares to the MYR2.60 per share and 30 sen per convertible warrant that they had earlier agreed on with the disposal consideration totalling MYR342.2m. The adjustment in the disposal consideration has taken into consideration the challenging business environment. (Source: The Star)

IOI Corp: Faces blockade by activists in Rotterdam. IOI Corp is now facing blockade by activists in The Netherlands. Its activists had shut off access for all imports and exports from IOI in Rotterdam harbour, the group’s gateway into Europe. Palm Oil from companies involved in forest destruction, peatland fires and child labour is still flowing to Europe and the US through IOI facilities. IOI suppliers are linked to serious environmental and human rights abuses such as destruction of Indonesian rainforests. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

StemLife: To work with Brunei hospital. StemLife and Jerudong Park Medical Centre (JPMC) are collaborating on the provision of stem cell banking services for clients and patients of the hospital. The company entered into an agreement with Brunei-based JPMC for the collaboration on Sept 1, 2016. The stem cell banking services include collection, testing, processing and preservation of umbilical cord blood stem cells, umbilical cord tissue, Wharton Jelly and peripheral blood stem cells services. The agreement is valid for one year from the commencement date. (Source: The Sun Daily)


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