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Share
Price:
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MYR3.32
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Target
Price:
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MYR3.15
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Recommendation:
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Hold
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Strongest STM
sales/draw YoY growth in a while
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1QFY4/17 earnings and dividends were marginally below
expectations due to a slightly higher than expected prize payout ratio.
That said, we note with great interest that Sports Toto Malaysia (STM)
sales/draw grew 4% YoY despite the still weak consumer sentiment. This
reaffirms our belief that the number forecasting industry is
stabilising after years of recession. We leave our earnings estimate,
dividend estimate, HOLD call and MYR3.15 unchanged for now.
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FYE Apr (MYR m)
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FY15A
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FY16A
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FY17E
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FY18E
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Revenue
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5,283.6
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5,563.2
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5,499.6
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5,562.9
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EBITDA
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566.4
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508.6
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515.4
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520.6
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Core net profit
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343.5
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306.2
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316.1
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325.9
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Core EPS (sen)
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25.5
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22.7
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23.5
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24.2
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Core EPS growth (%)
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(0.6)
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(11.0)
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3.3
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3.1
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Net DPS (sen)
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21.5
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19.0
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20.5
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21.0
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Core P/E (x)
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13.0
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14.6
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14.2
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13.7
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P/BV (x)
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6.5
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5.9
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5.6
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5.3
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Net dividend yield (%)
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6.5
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5.7
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6.2
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6.3
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ROAE (%)
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55.1
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42.3
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40.3
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39.4
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ROAA (%)
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15.6
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12.6
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12.3
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13.1
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EV/EBITDA (x)
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8.3
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8.8
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9.3
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9.2
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Net debt/equity (%)
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35.0
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35.5
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28.5
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21.3
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NEWS
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Outside Malaysia:
U.S: Confidence among homebuilders climbs to an 11-month
high in September, indicating the housing market will continue to
advance, according to data from the National Association of Home
Builders/Wells Fargo. Builder sentiment gauge increased to 65 (forecast
was 60) from a revised 59; readings greater than 50 indicate more
respondents reported good market conditions. Gauge of prospective buyer
traffic rose to 48, the highest since November, from 44. Measure of
six-month sales outlook climbed to an 11-month high of 71 from 66. Index
of current sales rose by 6 points to 71, the best reading since October
2005. (Source: Bloomberg)
U.K: London house prices rebounded this month after four
straight declines, reflecting a pickup in the market as the seasonal summer
lull ended. Asking prices in the U.K. capital rose 1.9% from August to
GBP 630,974 (USD 825,000), real-estate website Rightmove said. It added
that the recovery this month was “exaggerated by seasonal volatility,
with more owners of expensive properties coming to market after the end
of the summer holidays.” The monthly figures don’t paint a full picture
of London’s housing market. Asking prices in the city’s most expensive
district -- Kensington and Chelsea -- have fallen almost 12% in the past
year, while there’s been an 11% increase in Barking and Dagenham -- the
cheapest borough, Rightmove said. (Source: Bloomberg)
China: Home prices rose in more cities in August,
suggesting that local government attempts to cool housing prices are
having a limited impact. New-home prices, excluding government-subsidized
housing, last month gained in 64 of the 70 cities the government tracks,
compared with 51 in July, the National Bureau of Statistics said. Prices
fell in four cities, compared with 16 a month earlier. They were
unchanged in two. Curbs on home purchases and lending, which have spread
from major cities such as Shanghai and Shenzhen to regional hubs, have
yet to dent overall market sentiment buoyed by stimulus measures rolled
out since November 2014. The value of home sales jumped 33% last month
from a year earlier, the fastest pace in four months. (Source: Bloomberg)
China: Said to plan USD 150b of added public-private
projects. China’s Ministry of Finance has selected about CNY 1tr ($150
billion) worth of additional public- private partnership projects, people
familiar with the matter said. The projects will be announced after
receiving final approvals, according to the people, who asked not to be
identified because the information isn’t public. The Finance Ministry has
narrowed down the list to 516 projects out of more than 1,000 proposed by
local governments, one of the people said. It’s unclear how much of the
funding the government will provide. (Source: Bloomberg)
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Other News:
IHH Healthcare: Unit accepts MYR5.44b banking facility.
IHH Healthcare’s indirect wholly-owned subsidiary, Parkway Pantai Ltd,
has accepted a multi-currency banking facility for a total amount
equivalent to MYR5.44b. The facility was a multi-currency facility
involving Singapore dollars, Hong Kong dollars and US dollars, for a
total amount equivalent to SGD1.8b. The unsecured multi-currency
five-year revolving credit facility would be utilised for refinancing,
corporate funding, working capital requirements, as well as investments
and project financing. (Source: The Star)
NWP: Banks on construction business to turn around. NWP
was recently awarded a MYR744m turnkey construction project by M2B World
(M) Sdn Bhd to construct a total of 3,855 houses for six projects under
Syarikat Perumahan Negara Bhd (SPNB) and Perbadanan PR1MA Malaysia, with
an expected net margin of 15%. The company is expected to obtain a Grade
G7 contractor licence from the Construction Industry Development Board in
one to two weeks. The licence will enable NWP to tender for sizeable
government and private projects. (Source: The Sun Daily)
Petronas Gas: Linde, Petronas Gas team up to invest
EUR150m in industrial air gas facility. Supplier of industrial and
medical gases Linde Malaysia Sdn Bhd has established a joint-venture
company with Petronas Gas named Pengerang Gas Solution Sdn Bhd (PGS),
which will invest EUR150m (MYR620m) in an industrial air gas facility to
supply the needs of the Petronas’ Refinery and Petrochemicals Integrated
Complex within the Pengerang Integrated Petroleum Complex. PGS has
secured long-term agreements for the supply of oxygen and nitrogen to the
world-scale refinery and petrochemical complex, which includes an
ethylene oxide/ethylene glycol plant. PGS will build two large air
separation units and associated gas facilities. (Source: The Sun Daily)
Petronas Gas: Linde, Petronas Gas team up to invest
EUR150m in industrial air gas facility. Supplier of industrial and
medical gases Linde Malaysia Sdn Bhd has established a joint-venture
company with Petronas Gas named Pengerang Gas Solution Sdn Bhd (PGS),
which will invest EUR150m (MYR620m) in an industrial air gas facility to
supply the needs of the Petronas’ Refinery and Petrochemicals Integrated
Complex within the Pengerang Integrated Petroleum Complex. PGS has
secured long-term agreements for the supply of oxygen and nitrogen to the
world-scale refinery and petrochemical complex, which includes an
ethylene oxide/ethylene glycol plant. PGS will build two large air separation
units and associated gas facilities. (Source: The Sun Daily)
Poh Huat Resources: Buys AUD4.25m warehouse in Australia.
Poh Huat Resources Holdings is buying a detached warehouse cum
office-showroom in Dandenong, Victoria, Australia for AUD4.25m (MYR13.29m).
The acquisition was the first step for the group in establishing an
operational base in Australia. The acquisition is expected to be
completed by December 2016. (Source: The Star)
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