Published on 18 August 2016
RAM
Ratings has reaffirmed the AA1 rating of Malaysia Building Society Berhad’s
(MBSB or the Issuer) RM900.0 million Tranche 4 Structured Covered Sukuk
(Tranche 4 Sukuk), with a stable outlook. The issue rating reflects MBSB’s
long-term financial institution rating (FIR), the transaction’s interruption
risk (I-Risk), and the sufficiency of the available collateral cover of
143.74%, which supports a 4-notch rating uplift from the Issuer’s long-term
FIR.
While
we opine that the Tranche 4 Cover Assets will continue providing sufficient
collateral cover for the transaction under an “AA1 ¬stress” scenario, any
negative change in the Issuer’s FIR or the transaction’s I-risk may lead to a
change in the rating of the Tranche 4 Sukuk. In this respect, RAM has
reaffirmed MBSB’s A2/Stable long-term FIR (please refer to this link
for more information).
The
Tranche 4 Cover Assets consist of a portfolio of personal-financing facilities
for civil servants, originated by MBSB. As at end-May 2016, the transaction’s
43.74% overcollateralisation (OC) level reflected an outstanding principal
balance of RM1,214.30 million and RM79.35 million of cash and permitted
investments, backing RM900.0 million of outstanding Tranche 4 Sukuk. At the
same time, the underlying portfolio’s Asset Coverage Ratio (ACR) stood at
143.52%, i.e. above the transaction requirement of 137.70%. We note that the
Issuer currently does not intend to utilise excess cash balances to purchase
additional receivables. Moving forward, we expect the transaction’s OC ratio
and ACR to continue improving, especially after the transaction deleverages, in
line with the first scheduled principal redemption of RM20.0 million in October
2016.
The
credit performance of the Tranche 4 Cover Assets had been within expectations
during the reviewed period. The cumulative net default rate of the assets stood
at 0.16% of the initial outstanding principal balance, i.e. below our base-case
cumulative net default rate of 0.85%. Since issuance, the average monthly prepayment
rate of 0.02% of the initial outstanding principal balance trends close to our
zero-prepayment scenario. With almost the entire portfolio comprising
receivables that are only seasoned approximately 25% of their original tenures
– 19 to 20 years – we expect the average prepayment rates to continue trending
close to our low-prepayment assumption in the medium term. Nonetheless, based
on our cashflow assessment, the transaction should be able to withstand zero
prepayments while meeting its financial obligations on a full and timely basis.
We will continue monitoring the transaction’s prepayment trends and
periodically reassess our assumptions, if required.
All
figures were restated based on the latest information available. Please refer
to this link
for further information.
Media contact
Daniel Wong
(603) 7628 1172
danielwong@ram.com.my
Daniel Wong
(603) 7628 1172
danielwong@ram.com.my
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