Tuesday, August 9, 2016

Aviation: Malaysia Airlines sees another senior exec depart. The company has appointed Arved von zu


FEATURE
CALLS

Malaysia | Malaysia REITs
Staying REIT-silient
Kevin Wong







break


break


COMPANY RESEARCH





Company Update





Wah Seong (WSC MK)
by Thong Jung Liaw





Share Price:
MYR0.88
Target Price:
MYR1.08
Recommendation:
Buy




NS2: Slight delay in announcement not a concern

WSC’s Nord stream 2 (NS2) contract will be signed soon once the NS2 stakeholders finalize several terms. Schedule-wise, the project is moving to plan. WSC will need to raise funds to finance this job. Our forecasts are unchanged, though we do not rule out a potential asset impairment exercise pertaining to its underperforming 49%-owned plantation outfit in Congo by end-2016. Our TP is pegged to 10x 2017 PER.



FYE Dec (MYR m)
FY14A
FY15A
FY16E
FY17E
Revenue
2,438.6
1,839.5
1,605.0
2,550.0
EBITDA
296.6
143.3
87.5
223.8
Core net profit
145.4
22.7
(6.6)
83.5
Core EPS (sen)
18.8
2.9
(0.9)
10.8
Core EPS growth (%)
215.9
(84.4)
nm
nm
Net DPS (sen)
5.7
3.0
0.0
0.0
Core P/E (x)
4.6
29.8
nm
8.1
P/BV (x)
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
Net dividend yield (%)
6.5
3.4
0.0
0.0
ROAE (%)
14.1
2.1
(0.6)
7.3
ROAA (%)
5.4
0.8
(0.2)
3.0
EV/EBITDA (x)
6.4
12.2
18.0
7.3
Net debt/equity (%)
71.7
80.4
71.2
70.3


Thong Jung Liaw





SECTOR RESEARCH






Sector Note
by Kevin Wong


Staying REIT-silient





We expect earnings to remain resilient in the near term, namely for M-REITs with prime shopping malls and office assets with long-term leases. Our sector weight remains a POSITIVE despite the recent run-ups in unit prices as current dividend yields stay decent at 5.5/5.8% gross (sector average for CY16/17), while the possibility of another OPR cut could support higher valuations. Our BUYs are KLCCP (top BUY pick), IGBREIT, MQREIT and ALSREIT.









NEWS


Outside Malaysia:

Germany: Industrial production increased in June, signaling that Europe’s largest economy gained momentum ahead of the U.K.’s Brexit vote. Production, adjusted for seasonal swings, rose 0.8% from the previous month, when it dropped a revised 0.9%, data from the Economy Ministry showed. Output was up 0.5% YoY. (Source: Bloomberg)

China: Exports remained sluggish last month, signaling tepid global demand, while deteriorating imports raise concern domestic conditions may be weakening anew. Overseas shipments fell 4.4% YoY in USD, rose 2.9% YoY in yuan terms in July. Imports dropped 12.5% YoY in dollar terms, slipped 5.7% YoY in local currency. Trade surplus widened to USD 52.3b. (Source: Bloomberg)

Japan: Bank of Japan limits foreign profits on negative-yielding bonds. The Bank of Japan’s decision to boost swap lines shrank the premium foreign investors enjoy when they buy negative-yielding Japanese debt, helping put a ceiling on the yields they can earn by purchasing bonds in Japan and swapping the funds back into dollars. While foreign investors can still earn about a 1.7% rate in dollars if they buy two- year Japanese bonds that yield minus 0.17%, the BOJ’s decision to boost swap lines for domestic investors is likely to put a ceiling on the profits they can earn. (Source: Bloomberg)





Other News:

Aviation: Malaysia Airlines sees another senior exec depart. The company has appointed Arved von zur Muehlen as its COO effective Sept 5, replacing Paul Simmons who will be leaving in mid-September. According to the Peter Bellew, CEO of Malaysia Airlines, Muehlen will focus on developing a comprehensive and sustainable plan to improve Malaysia Airlines’ marketing, sales, products and customer service. Simmon’s departure makes him third senior executive to announce their departure after Christoph Mueller and Charles McKee left the airline. Muehlen brings with him 20 years of experience in the aviation industry. Prior to his appointment, Muehlen was the senior vice-president of Qatar Airways. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

DRB-Hicom: Rules out total sale of Proton. The company is currently undertaking a Request For Proposal (RFP) exercise seeking a partner for Proton Holdings is expected to be completed in the 1Q 17 and precludes a total disposal of its stake in the group. This is in response to news articles which alluded to a potential disposal of its entire stake in Proton to another party. “It must be highlighted that as part of the requirement of the MYR1.5b loan granted by the government, Proton is currently undertaking an RFP exercise seeking a partner to Proton who can provide a strategic, operational and cultural fit on a permanent basis with the intention to grow its automotive business.” The company added that the RFP implementation is being overseen by the Task Force Committee formed by the government last April to monitor the turnaround of Proton. They are expecting up to seven bids to purchase part or all of Proton. (Source: The Sun Daily)

MMC Corp: Plans of spinning-off gains momentum. Talks of the company spinning off its port assets business have emerged since December last year after the group completed its purchase of all the remaining shares in NCB Holdings, which operates Northport in Port Klang and Kontena Nasional. The spin-off plan seems to be gaining momentum again after the company announced last Friday that it is proposing to acquire 49% stake in Penang Port. According to Datuk Seri Che Khalid, the group’s managing director, the port business will be one of the company’s biggest profit and revenue contributors going forward. The deal could be Malaysia’s biggest since April 2015, when Malakoff raised USD754m through an IPO. Part of the proceeds from the potential IPO will be used to reduce the company’s debt. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Mah Sing: Newly launch The Greenway 85% booked over weekend. The company’s The Greenway, located at Meridin East township at Kong Kong, Pasir Gudang, Johor sees 85% of units booked during its Meridin East sales gallery and show village launch over last weekend. The sales gallery will be converted into the township’s community clubhouse over the next three to five years. According to the company, Meridin East is the largest township under the group’s project and represents a milestone for the company. The company is already upgrading Jalan Kong Kong and the next phase will involve developing a proposed slip-in and slip-out from Senai-Desaru Expressway (SDE) spur road. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)


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