Friday, October 9, 2015

[Maybank Kim Eng] Today's Research - Malaysia

09 Oct 2015, Friday

g Company Research
- NCB Holdings: Looking forward to a strong 3Q15
| Yen Ling Lee

g Macro Research
- Regional: Technicals - Index may re-test 1,700 very soon
| Lee Cheng Hooi
- Malaysia: Other News -
| Malaysia Research Team



MY: NCB Holdings (NCB MK)
Share Price: MYR4.32
Target Price: MYR5.30
Recommendation: Buy


Yen Ling Lee
(603) 2297 8691
lee.yl@maybank-ib.com


Company Update: Looking forward to a strong 3Q15

FYE Dec (MYR m)
FY13A
FY14A
FY15E
FY16E
Revenue
919.4
831.0
834.1
868.9
EBITDA
199.2
125.1
179.0
204.3
Core net profit
51.7
27.9
40.3
64.1
Core EPS (sen)
11.0
5.9
8.6
13.6
Core EPS growth (%)
(58.9)
(46.1)
44.7
58.9
Net DPS (sen)
8.0
7.0
7.0
8.0
Core P/E (x)
39.3
72.9
50.4
31.7
P/BV (x)
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.4
Net dividend yield (%)
1.9
1.6
1.6
1.9
ROAE (%)
3.7
2.0
2.9
4.5
ROAA (%)
2.8
1.3
1.8
2.8
EV/EBITDA (x)
8.6
9.6
11.4
10.4
Net debt/equity (%)
3.7
8.8
0.9
5.8
§  Expect strong 3Q15 results on the jump in container volume.
§  However, we lower our FY15-17 EPS by 2%/23%/11% and TP to MYR5.30 (-4%) on the slower tariff hike implementation.
§  NCB remains a BUY as a potential privatisation candidate.

RN: Technicals

Lee Cheng Hooi
(603) 2297 8694
chenghooi.lee@maybank-ib.com

Technical Research: Index may re-test 1,700 very soon


§  IOIPG - On a strong upward Wave 3 and 5 move.
§  FBMKLCI – Index may re-test 1,700 very soon.
§  Supports of 1,662 and 1,692 will be areas to buy.
§  Resistances of 1,701 and 1,744 may cap rebounds.
§   

MY: Other News

Malaysia Research Team

Economics Research:


Outside Malaysia
—   U.S: Jobless claims falls to lowest level since mid-July
—   Thailand: Consumer confidence falls to 16-month low on exports, GDP
Malaysia
—   Automotive: Mercedes-Benz to reduce car prices
—   YTL Power: IPP to supply to main grid from March
—   Astro: Latest offering
—   CLIQ Energy: To raise MYR210m for asset purchase
—   Daya Materials: Unit wins MYR88m naval job

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