Wednesday, November 2, 2016

SGS 2017 Issuance Calendar Skewed Towards Re-openings; Total Gross Issuances to Range Between SGD14-15bn

2 November 2016


Rates & FX View


SGS 2017 Issuance Calendar Skewed Towards Re-openings; Total Gross Issuances to Range Between SGD14-15bn

Highlights

¨   Strong 30y SGS mini auction to conclude 2016 issuance plan.
¨   Stellar performance recorded for SGS, outperforming its AxJ peers with the exception of IndoGBs and GolSecs.
¨   Total gross SGS issuances to range between SGD14.0-15.0bn; net SGS supply to remain within the 10-year average range.
¨   Prudent management of supply and duration risk.
¨   Healthy demand for SGS expected in the year ahead despite the highly externally driven SGS market.
¨   Challenging economic outlook for Singapore in the year ahead; mildly bearish stance on SGD remains appropriate.
¨   Neutral duration view on SGS, although favourable risk reward dynamics associated with trading the tight SGS-UST spreads.

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