Economic Research | 18 January 2018 | |||
Global | ||||
Economic Update | ||||
The consensus view and current momentum signal continued US dollar weakness. A more-hawkish-than-consensus ECB statement and a constructive political outcome in Germany have put even more pressure on the USD. We are out on a limb. Our belief is that most of the news that would keep the USD weak and/or the EUR and JPY weak is getting priced in. Once the dust settles -- perhaps with an overshoot -- future currency movements are likely to depend on growth and inflation surprises and these surprises are more likely to be USD friendly. Arup Raha | +65 6232 3896 | ||||
Economics Team | ||||
Arup Raha | Group Chief Economist | +65 6232 3896 | ||
Peck Boon Soon | Chief ASEAN Economist | +603 9280 2163 | ||
Vincent Loo Yeong Hong | Malaysia, Vietnam | +603 9280 2172 | ||
Ng Kee Chou | Singapore, Thailand | +603 9280 2179 | ||
Rizki Fajar | Indonesia, Philippines | +6221 2970 7065 | ||
Aris Nazman Maslan | Malaysia, Vietnam | +603 9280 2184 | ||
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