Thursday, January 18, 2018

FW: RHB | Singapore | NODX Eased Further In December, Up 8.8% For 2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

Economic Research

18 January 2018

Singapore

 

Economic Update

 

 

 

NODX Eased Further In December, Up 8.8% For 2017

 

Singapore’s non-oil domestic exports (NODX) decelerated to 3.1% YoY in Dec 2017, undermined by broad-based weaknesses. For the full-year 2017, NODX jumped 8.8%, recovering from a 2.8% drop in 2016.

In light of the latest reading, we believe that 2017 GDP will be revised down to 3.4% from 3.5%, closer to our estimate of 3.3%.

Further, we maintain our forecast for NODX to grow 6.7% in 2018. Electronic NODX is expected to slow, dragged by a high base effect and the winding down of the smartphone super-cycle. However, increased production of smartphone antenna chips and non-electronic NODX should provide some support, in particular the pharmaceuticals and capital goods segments. 

 

Economist:

Ng Kee Chou | +603 92802179

 

 

To access our recent reports please click on the links below:

3 January 2018: 4Q GDP Easing, Domestic Demand To Aid 2018 Growth

2 January 2018: Consumer Loans Pick Up In November

27 December 2017: Higher Transport Costs Lift November CPI

19 December 2017: NODX Starts To Slow Down

4 December 2017: Domestic Credit Demand Slowing Down

27 November 2017: IPI: Improvement Despite Pharmaceuticals Slump

 

Economics Team

Arup Raha

Group Chief Economist

arup.raha@rhbgroup.com

+65 6232 3896

Peck Boon Soon

Chief ASEAN Economist

bspeck@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2163

Vincent Loo Yeong Hong

Malaysia, Vietnam

vincent.loo@rhgroup.com

+603 9280 2172

Ng Kee Chou

Singapore, Thailand

ng.kee.chou@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2179

Rizki Fajar

Indonesia, Philippines

rizki.fajar@rhbgroup.com

+6221 2970 7065

Aris Nazman Maslan

Malaysia, Vietnam

mohd.aris.nazman@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2184

 

 

 

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