Monday, October 30, 2017

FW: RHB | Malaysia | MOF Economic Report 2017/2018 - Growth To Be Sustained As Fiscal Deficit Narrows

 

 

Economic Research

27 October 2017

Malaysia

 

Economic Update

 

 

 

MOF Economic Report 2017/2018 - Growth To Be Sustained As Fiscal Deficit Narrows

 

The MOF expects the Malaysian economy to sustain its strong growth momentum in 2018, although this would be moderate after a robust pick-up this year. It expects real GDP growth of 5-5.5% in 2018, vs +5.2-5.7% in 2017F. The working GDP number used by the MOF works out to be about 5.2% growth for 2018, ie slightly lower than the 5.4% estimated for 2017. The MOF’s growth projection was based on the resilient growth in domestic demand amid encouraging demand in the private sector, and a sustained growth in exports on strong global demand. We view the forecast as reasonable and broadly in line with our expectations. Reflecting the Federal Government’s commitment to consolidate its budget, Malaysia’s deficit is projected to narrow further to 2.8% of GDP in 2018, from a deficit of 3% of GDP estimated for 2017.

 

Economist:  Vincent Loo Yeong Hong  | +603 9280 2172

Economist:  Aris Nazman Maslan  | +603 9280 2184

 

 

To access our recent reports please click on the links below:

 

24 Oct : Services Sector Drags Approved Investments

20 Oct : Inflation Picks Up Further on Higher Fuel Prices

20 Oct : Business Confidence Slips On Weaker Orders

12 Oct : Industrial Production Jumps To a Two-Year High

09 Oct : Higher Forex Reserves Amid Foreign Inflows

 

Economics Team

 

 

 

 

Peck Boon Soon

Chief ASEAN Economist

bspeck@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2163

Vincent Loo Yeong Hong

Malaysia, Vietnam,

vincent.loo@rhgroup.com

+603 9280 2172

Ng Kee Chou

Singapore, Thailand

ng.kee.chou@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2179

Rizki Fajar

Indonesia, Philippines

rizki.fajar@rhbgroup.com

+6221 2970 7065

Aris Nazman Maslan

Malaysia, Vietnam

mohd.aris.nazman@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2184

 

 

 

 

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