Monday, January 9, 2017

Exports Rebound Sharply In November

Economic Research
9 January 2017
Malaysia

Economic Update




Exports bounced back into a growth of 7.8% YoY in November, as October’s decline was partly weighed down by a high base effect. Consequently, we expect Malaysia’s exports to pick up modestly to 2% YoY in 2017, from an estimated 0.5% in 2016 on account of:

1.   A gradual improvement in world merchandise trade volume, on the back of a sustained global economic growth;

2.   Resilient global demand for electrical & electronics (E&E) goods and a recovery in commodity exports.

We expect the current account surplus to improve slightly in 2017 to MYR20.2bn or 1.6% of GDP in 2017, from an estimate of MYR15.9bn or 1.3% of GDP in 2016, contributed by a wider surplus in the trade account.

Economist:  Vincent Loo Yeong Hong  | +603 9280 2172
Economist:  Aris Nazman Maslan  | +603 9280 2184

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