Thursday, January 19, 2017

Spring Gallery: In MYR161m Perak joint-venture project. Its unit Million Rich DevelopmentS/B and Hasil Senudong S/B have entered into a 60:40 joint venture agreement for the development of a residential project on leasehold land measuring 3.3ha in Perak with a gross development value of abo


FEATURE
CALLS

Malaysia | Malaysia Strategy
Tourism: Positive momentum gathering pace
Samuel Yin Shao Yang









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Malaysia | Stable job market condition
Suhaimi Ilias







Malaysia | Steady at year-end
Suhaimi Ilias








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MACRO RESEARCH






Tourism: Positive momentum gathering pace
by Samuel Yin Shao Yang


Strategy Research





Oct 2016 visitor arrivals grew 12% YoY, bringing 10M16 arrivals growth to +4.4%. The largest percentage growth in visitor arrivals in October came from China at +48% YoY; 10M16 China tourist arrivals grew a strong 27% YoY vs +4.3% in 2015. We are bullish going into 2017 given the weaker MYR coupled with ongoing promotional efforts by the government and airlines. MAHB, AirAsia, GENM and GENT are our existing BUYs.


Samuel Yin Shao Yang










Stable job market condition
by Suhaimi Ilias


Economics Research





Unemployment rate eased to 3.4% in Nov 2016 from 3.5% in Oct 2016. Jan-Nov 2016 average unemployment rate is 3.5%. Our full-year average jobless rate forecasts are 3.5% for 2016 and 3.4% for 2017.












Steady at year-end
by Suhaimi Ilias


Economics Research





Both headline and core inflation rates in Dec 2016 were little changed at +1.8% YoY (Nov 2016: +1.8% YoY) and +2.1% YoY (Nov 2016: +2.2% YoY) respectively. Full year 2016, headline inflation was +2.1% while core inflation was +2.5%. Tweaked our 2017 inflation rate forecast slightly higher to +2.5% from +2.3%.







NEWS


Outside Malaysia:

U.S: Fed says growth continues modestly as job market tightens. The U.S. economy continued to expand modestly from late November through the end of 2016 as a tightening labor market helped lift wages and prices more broadly, a Federal Reserve survey showed. The central bank’s Beige Book economic report, based on information collected by regional Fed banks on or before Jan. 9, said firms and industries were optimistic about growth this year. Employment gains were characterized as slight to moderate, with most of the Fed’s 12 districts saying they expected the labor market to continue tightening. (Source: Bloomberg)

U.S: China’s holdings of treasuries drop by most since 2011 in November, as the world’s second- largest economy uses its foreign-exchange reserves to support the yuan. Japan’s holdings also dropped but the country kept its spot as America’s largest foreign creditor. A monthly Treasury Department report released in Washington showed China held USD 1.05tr in U.S. government bonds, notes and bills in November, a drop of USD 66.4b from the prior month that was the steepest since December 2011. Japan’s portfolio decreased for fourth consecutive month, falling by USD 23.3b to USD 1.11tr, according to the data. (Source: Bloomberg)

U.K: Economy lost fewer jobs than expected and wage growth picked up toward the end of 2016, suggesting the labor market remains relatively resilient. The number of people in work fell by 9,000 to 31.8 million in the three months through November. The jobless rate stayed at 4.8%, the lowest since 2005, and wage growth reached the highest rate since 2015. (Source: Bloomberg)

U.K: House price gauge declines for first time in five months in December as the supply of properties for sale remained weak and values slumped in London. The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors said its index declined to 24 from 29 in November, indicating that a smaller majority of respondents saw price gains. Predicted sales over the next three months also slowed, with only 4 percent more respondents anticipating an increase. However, the year-ahead sales outlook still rose slightly. (Source: Bloomberg)

China: Money market rate jumped the most in two years, with record central bank cash injections being overwhelmed by demand before the Lunar New Year holidays. The People’s Bank of China put in a net CNY 410b (USD 60b) through open-market operations, the biggest daily addition since Bloomberg began compiling the data in 2004. That brings the total injections so far this week to CNY 845b. The interbank seven-day repurchase rate jumped 32 basis points, the most since December 2014, to 2.73%, according to weighted average prices. (Source: Bloomberg)





Other News:

Silk Holdings: PNB to buy SILK Highway for MYR380m. Silk’s toll concession asset will be sold to Permodalan Nasional Bhd for MYR380m in cash. SILK is the concession holder of the 37-kilometre Kajang Traffic Dispersal Ring Road under the concession agreement executed in October 1997 to finance, design, construct, operate and maintain the SILK Highway for 36 years, ending July 31, 2037. The disposal is in line with the group's strategy to monetise and unlock value of its infrastructure assets to allow Silk Holdings to streamline its operations and use its financial resources to focus on offshore marine support services. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Kwasa Land: To get MYR165.5m from Gadang for property job. Kwasa Land, which is the master developer of the township in Sungai Buloh will receive MYR165.5m for the development rights and revenue sharing from Gadang Holdings for a property development project at Kwasa Damansara township. It said 780 residential units comprising high rise towers and villas are to be built on the 21.08 acres freehold land. R3-1 is projected to have a gross development value of MYR700m. (Source: The Star)

Spring Gallery: In MYR161m Perak joint-venture project. Its unit Million Rich DevelopmentS/B and Hasil Senudong S/B have entered into a 60:40 joint venture agreement for the development of a residential project on leasehold land measuring 3.3ha in Perak with a gross development value of about MYR161.2m. The two-year project will begin by January 2018. (Source: The Sun Daily)

Mesiniaga: TM appoints Mesiniaga to install, maintain Internet gateway. Telekom Malaysia has awarded a MYR20.73m contract to Mesiniaga for the supply, installation and maintenance of its managed Internet gateway. The contract was for an eight-year period from Jan 1, 2017, to Dec 31, 2024. (Source: The Star)


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