Wednesday, January 3, 2018

FW: RHB | Singapore | 4Q GDP Easing, Domestic Demand To Aid 2018 Growth

 

 

 

 

Economic Research

3 January 2018

Singapore

 

Economic Update

 

 

 

4Q GDP Easing, Domestic Demand To Aid 2018 Growth

 

Based on advanced estimates, Singapore’s economy slowed sharply in 4Q17 to +2.8% QoQ, seasonally adjusted and annualised. Manufacturing output reversed into a decline, offsetting an acceleration in services sector growth. For the whole of 2017, the economy grew by 3.5%.

Going forward, while exports are expected to slow, the pace of softening would not be too severe, in our view. Moreover, there are signs of a pick-up in domestic demand, fuelled by:

i.          A positive wealth effect;

ii.          Pent-up demand;

iii.         A recovery in the property sector.

Private investments are also expected to increase, as corporates upgrade to adapt to incoming environmental regulations. Overall, we maintain our projection for Singapore’s GDP to grow 3% in 2018. 

 

Economist:

Ng Kee Chou | +603 92802179

 

 

To access our recent reports please click on the links below:

2 January 2018: Consumer Loans Pick Up In November

27 December 2017: Higher Transport Costs Lift November CPI

19 December 2017: NODX Starts To Slow Down

4 December 2017: Domestic Credit Demand Slowing Down

27 November 2017: IPI: Improvement Despite Pharmaceuticals Slump

24 November 2017: CPI Steady In October; Set To Rise In Last Two Months

 

Economics Team

Arup Raha

Group Chief Economist

arup.raha@rhbgroup.com

+65 6232 3896

Peck Boon Soon

Chief ASEAN Economist

bspeck@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2163

Vincent Loo Yeong Hong

Malaysia, Vietnam

vincent.loo@rhgroup.com

+603 9280 2172

Ng Kee Chou

Singapore, Thailand

ng.kee.chou@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2179

Rizki Fajar

Indonesia, Philippines

rizki.fajar@rhbgroup.com

+6221 2970 7065

Aris Nazman Maslan

Malaysia, Vietnam

mohd.aris.nazman@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2184

 

 

 

This message is intended only for the use of the person(s) to whom it is 
addressed and may contain information that is privileged or otherwise protected
from disclosure. If you are not the intended recipient you are hereby notified that
any use, review, disclosure or copying of this message and the information it
contains is prohibited. If you receive the message in error, please notify the
sender by reply e-mail and discard all its contents.
 
Thank You.

 

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.

Related Posts with Thumbnails