Thursday, June 1, 2017

Loan Growth Stabilises On Higher Consumer Demand

Economic Research
1 June 2017
Thailand

Economic Update




Thailand’s BM growth picked up to 3.5% YoY in April, as public demand for credit fell at a slightly reduced pace.
Going forward, we maintain our projection for Thailand’s broad money (BM) to accelerate to 6.1% in 2017 from +4.2% in 2016. This is as:
    i.   Exports are on course to grow 2.7% this year, accelerating from +0.5% in 2016;
   ii.   Private investment is set to rebound, particularly in exports, petroleum and public-private partnership (PPP)-related projects;
  iii.   Higher domestic demand on the back of rising commodity and farm prices.
Private credit expanded 3.6% YoY in April, unchanged as in the previous month. This was as household loans expanded sharply, mitigating a slowdown in business loans demand.

Economist:  Ng Kee Chou  | +603 9280 2179

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