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Share
Price:
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MYR2.24
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Target
Price:
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MYR2.20
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Recommendation:
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Hold
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Disposes AEON
Mahkota Cheras
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We are mildly positive on the proposed disposal of the
AEON Mahkota Cheras mall as we understand that the mall has been
underperforming while earnings contribution to the group was minimal.
Due to marginal earnings impact, we maintain our earnings forecasts and
MYR2.20 TP (pegged to 28x FY18 PER).
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FYE Dec (MYR m)
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FY15A
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FY16A
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FY17E
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FY18E
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Revenue
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3,834.6
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4,038.7
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4,159.9
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4,352.6
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EBITDA
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443.9
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448.8
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500.9
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530.9
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Core net profit
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133.4
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79.7
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93.2
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110.2
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Core EPS (sen)
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9.5
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5.7
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6.6
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7.9
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Core EPS growth (%)
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(32.5)
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(40.2)
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16.9
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18.3
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Net DPS (sen)
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4.0
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3.0
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3.3
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3.9
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Core P/E (x)
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23.6
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39.4
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33.7
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28.5
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P/BV (x)
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1.7
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1.7
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1.6
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1.6
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Net dividend yield (%)
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1.8
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1.3
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1.5
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1.8
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ROAE (%)
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7.4
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4.3
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4.9
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5.7
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ROAA (%)
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3.6
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1.9
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2.1
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2.4
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EV/EBITDA (x)
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9.9
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10.0
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8.1
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7.6
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Net debt/equity (%)
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30.1
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46.3
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46.1
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44.5
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SECTOR RESEARCH
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Conference takeaways
by Thong
Jung Liaw
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We recently hosted a one day Oil & Gas conference
in Kuala Lumpur, featuring two keynote speakers: (i) Dr Jeffrey
Brown, President of FGE and (ii) Ms Vandana Hari, Founder & CEO
of Vanda Insights. The topics of discussion centred on OPEC’s
cohesion, shale’s development and oil price outlook. The key
takeaways are highlighted below. We maintain our crude oil ASP
estimate of USD53/bbl (Brent) for 2017. Our key BUYs are Sapura
Energy, Yinson, Dialog and Wah Seong.
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MACRO RESEARCH
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BM Finance Index – Taking a breather
by Nik
Ihsan Raja Abdullah
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FBMKLCI eked out a marginal 0.13pt gains yesterday to
close at 1,771.36. Market breadth has improved with gainers outpacing
losers by 502 to 314. Turnover was 1.39b shares valued at MYR1.55b.
The benchmark could gap down at the opening bell on negative spillover
from Wall Street overnight. However, bottom fishing activities should
help to narrow losses as this holiday-shortened week comes to an end.
Next week, market may stage a technical rebound, following a slight
recovery in oil price.
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Nik Ihsan Raja
Abdullah
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Tee Sze Chiah
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NEWS
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Outside Malaysia:
E.U: Euro-area economic confidence jumped to the highest
level in a decade as the European Central Bank edged toward unwinding
unprecedented stimulus. An index of executive and consumer sentiment rose
to 111.1 in June from 109.2 in May, the European Commission said. The
reading is the strongest since August 2007. The report comes two days
after ECB President Mario Draghi confounded investors by arguing that
there’s room to adjust stimulus measures as the economy improves, even
though he called for prudence and patience amid still-low inflation.
(Source: Bloomberg)
E.U: Euro-area economic confidence jumped to the highest
level in a decade as the European Central Bank edged toward unwinding
unprecedented stimulus. An index of executive and consumer sentiment rose
to 111.1 in June from 109.2 in May, the European Commission said. The
reading is the strongest since August 2007. The report comes two days
after ECB President Mario Draghi confounded investors by arguing that
there’s room to adjust stimulus measures as the economy improves, even
though he called for prudence and patience amid still-low inflation.
(Source: Bloomberg)
Japan: Inflation edges up but remains far from BOJ’s
target. Japan’s core consumer prices crept higher for a fifth straight
month, but their slow rise means inflation remains far from the Bank of
Japan’s 2% target. Consumer prices excluding fresh food advanced 0.4% YoY
in May, the fastest gain since December 2014, when the impact of a 2014
sales-tax hike is excluded. Excluding fresh food and energy, prices were
unchanged. The jobless rate in May rose unexpectedly to 3.1%. Industrial
production decreased 3.3% MoM in May from the previous month. (Source:
Bloomberg)
Vietnam: Economy recovered this quarter with a surge in
exports allowing it to rejoin a small group of nations posting growth
rates of more than 6%. GDP rose 6.17% YoY in the second quarter, compared
with a revised 5.15% YoY in the previous three months, the General
Statistics Office said. The economy expanded 5.73% YoY in the six months
through June. (Source: Bloomberg)
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Other News:
Kumpulan Jetson: Bags MYR919m building job, share price
jumps. Kumpulan Jetson has been awarded a MYR919.3m subcontract job to
undertake main building works for a mixed commercial project in Jalan
Conlay. The contract sum comprises MYR336.7m for building works and
MYR582.7m for prime cost and provisional sum. The job involves demolition
and site works, architectural works to basement, podium structural works,
elevated car park, retails, Tower B, sky bridges and facilities floor,
external works, and hard landscaping works. (Source: The Edge Financial
Daily)
Tasco: Shareholders approve venture into cold chain
business. Logistics player, Tasco expects its maiden foray into the cold
chain business to contribute about 15% to 20% to revenue for the
financial year ending March 31, 2018 (FY18), after both proposals of its
EGM received approvals from shareholders. The logistics firm was given
the green light by shareholders to acquire Gold Cold Transport Sdn Bhd
(GCT) and MILS Cold Chain Logistics Sdn Bhd. The company projects that
the company could generate MYR110m in revenue contribution from the cold
chain segment in the current financial year. The acquisition of GCT will
be completed by the July, while the takeover of MILS Cold Chain Logistics
will be done by the end of November. (Source: The Star)
Reach Energy: Needs to raise funds due to capital
shortfall. Reach Energy needs to raise fresh funds due to a capital
shortfall after the company returned MYR138.51m cash to dissenting
shareholders who had voted against the qualifying acquisition (QA) that
had cost it USD175.9m (MYR756.37m). The company is currently exploring
options to raise fresh capital but has yet to decide whether to go ahead
with the share placement that was supposed to raise as much as MYR180m. Of
the total purchase consideration of USD175.9m for the QA, the company has
paid USD131.9m with the cash it raised through its initial public
offering. There is an outstanding balance of USD44m that the company
needs to settle. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)
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