Thursday, May 4, 2017

Daibochi: Gets Myanmar nod to commence JV packaging operations. It has received regulatory approval from Myanmar for its joint venture proposal to set up flexible packaging operations in that country and export the product to other countries. The company targets to officially commence operations in a month’s time. It plans to invest some USD.5m (MYR23.8m) via internally-generated funds over a three-year period to enhance its production capacity, quality, and efficiency there. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)



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Malaysia Banking | No need for a reserve fund
Desmond Ch'ng









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COMPANY RESEARCH





Results Review





Sunway REIT (SREIT MK)
by Kevin Wong





Share Price:
MYR1.71
Target Price:
MYR1.85
Recommendation:
Buy




3QFY17: Earnings on track

3QFY6/17 results and third interim gross DPU of 2.37sen (YTDFY17: 6.92sen) were in line whereby YoY earnings growth was mainly driven by the retail and office segments. Our earnings forecasts and DDM-TP of MYR1.85 (unchanged cost of equity of 7.8%) are intact.



FYE Jun (MYR m)
FY15A
FY16A
FY17E
FY18E
Revenue
453.5
507.0
522.6
568.3
Net property income
340.8
373.9
395.8
433.7
Distributable income
256.6
270.6
268.6
299.0
DPU (sen)
7.8
8.3
8.2
9.1
DPU growth (%)
4.3
5.2
(1.0)
10.9
Price/DPU(x)
21.8
20.7
20.9
18.9
P/BV (x)
1.3
1.2
1.3
1.3
DPU yield (%)
4.6
4.8
4.8
5.3
ROAE (%)
14.1
8.1
6.7
7.5
ROAA (%)
4.0
4.0
4.1
4.4
Debt/Assets (x)
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.4







SECTOR RESEARCH






No need for a reserve fund
by Desmond Ch'ng


Sector Note





The move to scrap the reserve fund is a non-event in the short term, in our view, for until there is a clearer view of where minimum capital levels should be, banks are unlikely to raise their dividend payout ratios. Over the longer term, banks with strong capital ratios would undoubtedly be in a better position to improve dividend payments to shareholders. Maintain BUY on CIMB, AFG, HL Bank and BIMB.









MACRO RESEARCH






Soybean Oil Futures – Recovery play
by Tee Sze Chiah


Technical Research





FBMKLCI lost 5.96pts to close at 1,772.51 yesterday amid profit taking activities. Market breadth was equally bearish with losers outpacing gainers by 535 to 391. A total of 3.89b shares worth MYR3.04b changed hands. FBMKLCI failed to hold onto its early gains (intraday high of 1,784.79) as selling pressure intensified in the afternoon session, dragging the benchmark into the negative territory. Today, we expect the index to test the 1,757 to 1,763 support zone.







NEWS


Outside Malaysia:

U.S: Fed keeps rates on hold as slowdown in growth seen temporary. Federal Reserve officials remained on track to gradually tighten monetary policy after leaving interest rates unchanged and signaling they were not alarmed by recent U.S. economic weakness. “The committee views the slowing in growth during the first quarter as likely to be transitory,” the Federal Open Market Committee said in a statement following a two-day meeting in Washington. “Near-term risks to the economic outlook appear roughly balanced.” U.S. central bankers were unusually explicit in their statement, indicating that a disappointing first quarter, in which the economy grew at an annualized rate of 0.7%, would not knock the committee off its plan to raise rates two more times this year after a hike in March. (Source: Bloomberg)

U.S: Service industries grow at faster pace than forecast. America’s service industries expanded more than projected in April as a measure of orders reached the highest level since 2005, a survey from the Institute for Supply Management showed. Non-manufacturing index rose to 57.5, the second-highest since October 2015 (forecast was 55.8) from 55.2 in March; readings above 50 indicate growth. Gauge of orders climbed to 63.2, the highest since August 2005, from 58.9. Measure of business activity increased to 62.4 from 58.9. (Source: Bloomberg)

E.U: Euro-Area maintained its growth momentum at the start of 2017, strengthening the case of those pressuring the European Central Bank to sketch out an end to extraordinary stimulus measures. GDP rose 0.5% in the first three months of the year, according to an initial estimate published by the European Union’s statistics office. (Source: Bloomberg)

Germany: Unemployment extended its four-year decline last month, suggesting companies are confident that momentum in Europe’s largest economy remains strong. The number of people out of work slid by a seasonally adjusted 15,000 to 2.543 million in April, data from the Federal Labor Agency in Nuremberg showed. The jobless rate was unchanged at 5.8%. Demand is being supported by both domestic spending and gradually strengthening global trade, brightening the outlook for companies. Business confidence rose to the strongest level in almost six years in April, and a report due next week is set to show that economic growth accelerated in the first quarter. (Source: Bloomberg)

Crude Oil: Resumes decline as U.S. crude production expands 11th week, the longest run of gains in more than four years. Crude output rose to 9.29 million barrels a day, the highest level since August 2015, according to the Energy Information Administration. OPEC is likely to extend production cuts for six months past June, according to Nigerian Oil Minister Emmanuel Ibe Kachikwu. Brent for July settlement was USD 50.79/bbl on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. (Source: Bloomberg)





Other News:

Daibochi: Gets Myanmar nod to commence JV packaging operations. It has received regulatory approval from Myanmar for its joint venture proposal to set up flexible packaging operations in that country and export the product to other countries. The company targets to officially commence operations in a month’s time. It plans to invest some USD.5m (MYR23.8m) via internally-generated funds over a three-year period to enhance its production capacity, quality, and efficiency there. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

SHL Consolidated: Partners Japan's Marubeni to develop MYR327m condo project. The group is partnering Japanese general trading firm Marubeni Corp to develop a condominium project with an estimated gross development value of MYR327m in Bandar Sungai Long, Selangor. The two parties will incorporate a JV company, in which SHL’s unit will take up a 67% stake while Marubeni’s subsidiary will hold 33%, to undertake the project on a plot of land that would be acquired from another SHL unit for MYR50m. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Iris: To collaborate with TruTag Technologies of US. Iris Corp will be partnering US authentication and digital security company TruTag Technologies Inc to look into the potential for smartcard and secure label applications globally. Both parties has signed a letter of intent to jointly develop smartcard and secure label applications to help enhance traceability and security document identification, eliminate counterfeit products and improve supply chain visibility. (Source: The Sun Daily)

F&N: 2Q net profit grows 18.2%, proposes 27 sen interim dividend. Net profit grew 18.23% to MYR107.08m for the second quarter ended March 31, 2017 from MYR90.57m a year earlier, on lower operating expenses, higher share of results of an associate and lower tax expense. It proposed an interim single tier dividend of 27 sen for the year ending Sept 30, 2017 (FY17), payable on June 15. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)


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