Economic Research
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22
May 2017
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Malaysia
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Economic Update
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Malaysia’s real GDP growth
recorded a stronger growth of 5.6% YoY in 1Q17, up from +4.5% in 4Q16, on the
back of stronger external activities and domestic demand. Going forward, we expect the strong growth
of the external sector to continue spilling over to the domestic side in the
quarters ahead. Nonetheless, we expect the real GDP growth to moderate
in 2Q and 2H 2017, as the strong export growth tapers off. Still, we are revising our 2017
real GDP forecast upwards to a growth of 4.8% (2016: 4.2%) from our previous
estimate of 4.5%, on account of:
1. A
stronger-than-expected recovery in exports, particularly in 1Q17, that could
boost overall economic activity;
2. A
pick-up in domestic demand, as higher export growth would trickle down to an
improvement in consumer spending and private investment; and
3. Modest
increase in public spending and investment.
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Monday, May 22, 2017
A More Robust Economy Expected in 2017
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