Economic
Research
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23
May 2017
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Thailand
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Economic Update
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Thailand’s
April exports eased to 8.5% YoY. This was undermined by a sharp deceleration
in shipments of E&E and a contraction in vehicle sales. Agricultural
exports also slowed, but only marginally.
Going forward, we
believe that Thai merchandise exports remain on track to grow 2.7% this year
from a flat reading in 2016. This is with:
i. Electronic
ii. Electrical
appliance shipments continuing to be buoyed by the cyclical recovery in China
and strong economic growth in the Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam (CLMV)
countries;
iii. The
auto exports slowdown likely to be less drastic than initially expected –
this is following the reversal of public sector pay cuts in Saudi Arabia;
iv.
Machinery exports being on course to
increase this year as capex improves on firming economic recovery in the US,
higher ASEAN GDP growth and receding risks of an EU breakup;
v. Agricultural
exports are set to expand on the back of higher harvest yields and stronger
rubber demand.
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Tuesday, May 23, 2017
Thai Exports Set To Moderate In 2Q As E&E Slows
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