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Share
Price:
|
MYR12.52
|
Target
Price:
|
MYR14.05
|
Recommendation:
|
Buy
|
|
|
|
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1Q17 results
within expectations
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|
Allianz’s results were in line, with the life division
making up 33% of group pretax profit in 1Q17 versus 22% in 1Q16.
Allianz offers an exposure to the largest general insurer in Malaysia
and one of the fastest growing life insurers. There is no change to our
earnings forecasts. Maintain BUY and SOP-TP of MYR14.05.
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|
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|
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FYE Dec (MYR m)
|
FY15A
|
FY16A
|
FY17E
|
FY18E
|
Net earned premiums
|
3,504.3
|
3,690.5
|
3,701.8
|
3,758.3
|
Core profit (MYR m)
|
308.9
|
312.1
|
320.1
|
334.4
|
BVPS (MYR)
|
7.6
|
8.3
|
9.3
|
10.4
|
P/B (x)
|
1.7
|
1.5
|
1.3
|
1.2
|
EVPS (MYR)
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
PEV (x)
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
VNB (MYR)
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
VNB multiple (x)
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
ROE (%)
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
ROA (%)
|
2.3
|
2.1
|
1.9
|
1.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share
Price:
|
MYR3.29
|
Target
Price:
|
MYR3.10
|
Recommendation:
|
Hold
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3QFY17: Flattish
bottomline
|
|
3QFY6/17 results and 4th interim net DPS of 2.5sen were in
line. The flattish YoY core earnings were due to higher opex despite
its higher revenue. Meanwhile, a special net DPS of 1.5sen was also
declared, lifting total DPS for YTDFY17 to 11.5sen. We revise our
FY17/18/19E EPS by -3%/+2%/+3% and nudge up TP to MYR3.10 (+10sen)
which is pegged to an unchanged 12x FY18 PER (at forward PER mean).
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|
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FYE Jun (MYR m)
|
FY15A
|
FY16A
|
FY17E
|
FY18E
|
Revenue
|
977.9
|
1,301.2
|
1,507.2
|
1,685.9
|
EBITDA
|
145.3
|
221.7
|
234.7
|
272.9
|
Core net profit
|
80.2
|
136.4
|
145.9
|
168.3
|
Core EPS (sen)
|
12.2
|
20.7
|
22.2
|
25.6
|
Core EPS growth (%)
|
(11.8)
|
70.0
|
6.9
|
15.4
|
Net DPS (sen)
|
10.0
|
11.5
|
11.5
|
10.0
|
Core P/E (x)
|
27.0
|
15.9
|
14.8
|
12.9
|
P/BV (x)
|
5.3
|
4.6
|
4.0
|
3.4
|
Net dividend yield (%)
|
3.0
|
3.5
|
3.5
|
3.0
|
ROAE (%)
|
20.2
|
31.4
|
28.9
|
28.5
|
ROAA (%)
|
13.7
|
19.5
|
17.1
|
17.2
|
EV/EBITDA (x)
|
4.6
|
5.8
|
7.9
|
6.6
|
Net debt/equity (%)
|
net cash
|
net cash
|
net cash
|
net cash
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share
Price:
|
MYR0.89
|
Target
Price:
|
MYR1.30
|
Recommendation:
|
Buy
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1Q17: In line
|
|
WSC returning to the black and successfully addressing its
debt covenant issue were two key positives in 1Q17. Our earnings
forecasts are unchanged, expecting stronger quarters ahead as the Nord
Stream 2 (NS2) operations progressively kick in up to 2019. Valuations
are inexpensive vis-Ã -vis growth prospects. Our MYR1.30 TP is pegged to
12x 2018 PER (unchanged).
|
|
|
|
|
|
FYE Dec (MYR m)
|
FY15A
|
FY16A
|
FY17E
|
FY18E
|
Revenue
|
1,839.5
|
1,276.6
|
2,150.0
|
2,198.4
|
EBITDA
|
143.3
|
53.6
|
233.8
|
241.3
|
Core net profit
|
22.7
|
(23.3)
|
77.2
|
83.5
|
Core EPS (sen)
|
2.9
|
(3.0)
|
10.0
|
10.8
|
Core EPS growth (%)
|
(84.4)
|
nm
|
nm
|
8.1
|
Net DPS (sen)
|
3.0
|
0.5
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Core P/E (x)
|
30.3
|
nm
|
8.9
|
8.2
|
P/BV (x)
|
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
Net dividend yield (%)
|
3.4
|
0.6
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
ROAE (%)
|
0.9
|
(23.2)
|
9.4
|
9.3
|
ROAA (%)
|
0.8
|
(0.8)
|
2.7
|
2.6
|
EV/EBITDA (x)
|
12.2
|
30.4
|
7.2
|
6.5
|
Net debt/equity (%)
|
73.6
|
104.7
|
91.7
|
72.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share
Price:
|
MYR0.63
|
Target
Price:
|
MYR0.13
|
Recommendation:
|
Sell
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1Q17: Below
expectations
|
|
Barakah reported a core loss of MYR4m in 1Q17. The
operating environment will be tough in 2017, owing to low replenishment
visibility and the absence of Pan Malaysia T&I works, prompting a
substantial cut in our FY17-19 earnings forecasts. We do not rule out
an impairment exercise for its KL101 pipelay barge by end-2017. We cut
our TP by 79% as we now value Barakah based on 1x EV/replacement value
(vs. 12x FY18 PER previously).
|
|
|
|
|
|
FYE Dec (MYR m)
|
FY15A
|
FY16A
|
FY17E
|
FY18E
|
Revenue
|
592.6
|
622.6
|
340.0
|
399.0
|
EBITDA
|
38.6
|
58.9
|
31.4
|
74.4
|
Core net profit
|
12.8
|
10.0
|
(30.7)
|
3.3
|
Core EPS (sen)
|
1.5
|
1.2
|
(3.6)
|
0.4
|
Core EPS growth (%)
|
(82.8)
|
(21.8)
|
nm
|
nm
|
Net DPS (sen)
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Core P/E (x)
|
42.5
|
54.4
|
nm
|
165.3
|
P/BV (x)
|
1.2
|
1.1
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
Net dividend yield (%)
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
ROAE (%)
|
5.0
|
3.5
|
(7.5)
|
0.8
|
ROAA (%)
|
1.7
|
1.3
|
(4.0)
|
0.5
|
EV/EBITDA (x)
|
21.8
|
12.4
|
19.1
|
7.4
|
Net debt/equity (%)
|
18.6
|
35.9
|
31.6
|
18.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share
Price:
|
MYR0.22
|
Target
Price:
|
MYR0.13
|
Recommendation:
|
Sell
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1Q17: Within
expectations
|
|
As expected, Alam remained in the red in 1Q17, on low
overall OSV utilization. Our earnings forecasts are unchanged. The OSV
market will remain tough over the next 12 months. Optimising costs and
OSV utilisation, and preserving cash flows remain key in 2017.
Addressing its MYR75m MTN due in 2017/18 is also a priority. Valuations
are expensive vis-Ã -vis its peers. Our TP is pegged to 12x 2018 PER
(unchanged).
|
|
|
|
|
|
FYE Dec (MYR m)
|
FY15A
|
FY16A
|
FY17E
|
FY18E
|
Revenue
|
350.2
|
247.5
|
246.0
|
282.1
|
EBITDA
|
71.9
|
22.2
|
44.2
|
54.9
|
Core net profit
|
63.1
|
(90.4)
|
0.5
|
9.8
|
Core EPS (sen)
|
6.8
|
(9.8)
|
0.1
|
1.1
|
Core EPS growth (%)
|
5.9
|
nm
|
nm
|
1,824.1
|
Net DPS (sen)
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Core P/E (x)
|
3.2
|
nm
|
390.2
|
20.3
|
P/BV (x)
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
Net dividend yield (%)
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
ROAE (%)
|
5.2
|
(17.0)
|
0.1
|
1.3
|
ROAA (%)
|
4.9
|
(8.3)
|
0.1
|
1.0
|
EV/EBITDA (x)
|
6.5
|
15.6
|
6.2
|
4.5
|
Net debt/equity (%)
|
8.2
|
13.8
|
10.0
|
6.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MACRO RESEARCH
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Construction Index: correction started
by Nik
Ihsan Raja Abdullah
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FBMKLCI ended the day 0.45pts higher at 1,765.34 amid
a volatile trading session. Broader market, however, was bearish with
losers outpacing gainers by 680 to 235. Market turnover was 2.61b
shares valued at MYR2.16b. Technically, the short-term outlook for
FBMKLCI remains weak. The benchmark index could continue to trend
lower over the next few days as there is no reversal signal yet.
Having said so, we expect the current downturn to be temporary.
|
|
|
|
|
Nik Ihsan Raja
Abdullah
|
|
|
Tee Sze Chiah
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEWS
|
|
|
Outside Malaysia:
U.S. Consumer spending signals second-quarter rebound on
track. The consumer is on track for a second- quarter comeback after a
weak stretch at the start of the year, as Americans kept up spending in
line with income gains in April, Commerce Department figures showed.
Purchases increased 0.4% MoM, most since December, after 0.3% MoM rise in
March. Incomes rose 0.4% MoM after 0.2% MoM gain. Price gauge tied to
consumption rose 0.2% MoM m/m and rose 1.7% YoY. Excluding food and
energy, prices rose 0.2% MoM and 1.5% YoY. (Source: Bloomberg)
U.S: Rise in home prices in 20 cities reflects lean
inventory. A larger-than-forecast increase in home prices in 20 U.S.
cities in March underscores both steady demand and lean inventory,
figures from S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller showed. The 20-city property
values index rose 5.9% YoY from March 2016 (forecast 5.7% YoY), matching
February as biggest since July 2014. National price gauge climbed 5.8%
YoY in the 12 months through March. Seasonally adjusted 20-city index
rose 0.9% from a month earlier. (Source: Bloomberg)
E.U: Euro-area economic confidence fell for the first time
this year and consumers’ outlook for inflation weakened, pointing to
subdued price pressures. The European Commission’s index of executive and
consumer sentiment fell to 109.2 in May from a revised 109.7 in April.
While that fell short of economists’ expectations, the gauge remains
close to the highest level in a decade. (Source: Bloomberg)
S. Korea: June manufacturers’ confidence unchanged at 84.
Manufacturers’ business confidence in May was at 84, according to Bank of
Korea statement. Proportion of companies surveyed complaining about weak
domestic demand rises to 23.8% from 23.4% in last survey. Confidence
index for non-manufacturers for June rises to 80 from 78. Results based
on survey conducted May 17-24, with responses from 1,747 manufacturers
and 1,103 non-manufacturers. Readings below 100 indicate that pessimists
outnumber optimists. (Source: Bloomberg)
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Other News:
AZRB: 1Q net profit up 45.7% on improved margin, higher
property revenue. 1Q17 net profit rose 45.7% to MYR6.12m from MYR4.2m a
year ago, on improved margin of construction projects, as well as the
inclusion of contribution from the IIUM Medical Centre facilities
management concession. Quarterly revenue, however, fell 19.1% to
MYR250.19m from MYR309.37m, largely due to a dip in revenue of the
construction division which was mitigated by higher property revenue. As
at March 31, 2017, AZRB's construction segment has an outstanding order
book of MYR3.7b. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)
MY E.G. Services: 3Q net profit up 63% on higher
transaction volumes. The group saw its 3QFY6/17 net profit rise 62.8% on
higher transaction volumes from the online renewal of foreign workers’
permits, foreign workers rehiring programme services and foreign workers’
insurance from both FWP and FWR services. Net profit grew to MYR53.9m or
1.5 sen per share in 3QFY6/17 from MYR33.1m or 0.9 sen per share in
3QFY6/6. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)
Ekovest: 3Q net profit largely flat on one-off expense.
3QFY6/17 was largely flat at MYR11.06m from MYR11.08m a year ago, mainly
due to a one-off expense of MYR22.62m on recognition of fair value
adjustment pursuant to the granting of the Employees' Share Option
Scheme. Quarterly revenue rose 57.9% to MYR291.75m in 3QFY6/17 from
MYR184.77m in 3QFY6/16, mainly due to the commencement of preliminary and
construction work for Setiawangsa-Pantai Expressway. (Source: The Edge
Financial Daily)
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