Friday, July 1, 2016

Resilient Economic Growth, But Set To Moderate In 2H 2016

Economic Research
30 June 2016
Philippines

Economic Outlook




The Philippines’ real GDP growth strengthened to 6.9% y-o-y in 1Q 2016, driven by a more robust domestic. Economic activities in the Philippines, in our view, are anticipated to remain resilient in 2H 2016, as the government aims to continue ramping up spending in the coming. Nevertheless, after a strong showing in 1Q, the expansion will likely slowin 2H, as election-related spending tapers off. Hence, we envisage the Philippines’ real GDP to expand by 6.3% y-o-y in 2H, down from +7.0% in 1H. For the full-year, we expect the Philippines’ real GDP growth to expand by 6.6% for 2016, from +5.9% registered in 2015.


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