Tuesday, April 5, 2016

[Maybank IB] Today's Research - Malaysia






Media Chinese International | Resilient earnings to lift dividends
Samuel Yin Shao Yang









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Malaysia | A re-test of 1,727 soon
Lee Cheng Hooi








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COMPANY RESEARCH





TP Revision





Media Chinese International (MCIL MK)
by Samuel Yin Shao Yang





Share Price:
MYR0.72
Target Price:
MYR0.80
Recommendation:
Buy




Resilient earnings to lift dividends

We expect FY3/16 results to be in-line and earnings going forward to be resilient. Potential disposal of 73%-owned One Media Group will swell its already net cash position without materially affecting earnings. We leave our EPS estimates unchanged but raise our post-FY3/16 DPS estimates by 20%. Maintain BUY with a higher TP of MYR0.80 (+10%) as we migrate our valuation methodology to PER (10x CY16) from P/B (1.3x end-CY16).



FYE Mar (MYR m)
FY14A
FY15A
FY16E
FY17E
Revenue
1,530.6
1,589.3
1,449.8
1,511.0
EBITDA
287.2
268.1
243.6
249.1
Core net profit
157.5
144.4
131.5
136.9
Core EPS (sen)
9.3
8.6
7.8
8.1
Core EPS growth (%)
(8.2)
(8.3)
(8.9)
4.1
Net DPS (sen)
4.7
3.4
3.9
4.9
Core P/E (x)
7.8
8.5
9.3
8.9
P/BV (x)
1.7
1.6
1.4
1.3
Net dividend yield (%)
6.4
4.8
5.4
6.7
ROAE (%)
23.3
19.4
16.0
15.0
ROAA (%)
10.5
9.4
8.1
8.4
EV/EBITDA (x)
6.0
4.5
4.8
4.4
Net debt/equity (%)
21.9
5.9
net cash
net cash








MACRO RESEARCH






Technical Research
by Lee Cheng Hooi


A re-test of 1,727 soon





The FBMKLCI gained 14.69 points to close at 1,725.24 yesterday, while the FBMEMAS and FBM100 rose 94.28 and 95.03 points respectively. In terms of market breadth, the gainer-to-loser ratio was 462-to-333, while 373 counters were unchanged. A total of 1.50b shares were traded valued at MYR1.73b.







NEWS


Outside Malaysia:

E.U: Unemployment retreated in February to the lowest since 2011, continuing its slow decline as the economy grows at a modest pace. The rate fell to 10.3% from 10.4% in January, the European Union’s statistics office Eurostat said. While the unemployment rate in the currency bloc has been almost continuously above 10% for more than six years, national figures point to a divide in the region. In Germany, the jobless rate held at 4.3%, according to Eurostat. (Source: Bloomberg)

U.K: Homebuilding activity barely grew in March as increased uncertainty about the outlook damped demand. An index of residential construction dropped to 50.3 from 53 in February, Markit Economics said. That’s the weakest reading since January 2013 and just above the 50 level that divides expansion from contraction. A gauge of total construction remained at 54.2 last month, matching the lowest since April 2015, and Markit said U.K. building is experiencing its “weakest growth phase since the summer of 2013.” (Source: Bloomberg)

China: Top economic planner sees faster inflation this year. China consumer prices may rise slightly in 2016, in part because of higher prices for necessities and in part because of government policy curbing overcapacity, the price monitoring center of National Development and Reform Commission said in an article published on China Securities Journal. Decline in PPI and deflation pressure may ease while property price increases are seen to be faster than last year. Yuan may also see slight depreciation in 2016. (Source: Bloomberg)

China: Growth shocks increasingly driving stock market, IMF says. Economic surprises in China are increasingly driving global stock-market returns, underscoring the need for clear and timely communication by the nation’s Communist Party policy makers, according to the International Monetary Fund. There’s been a strong and steady increase over the last two decades in the impact of Chinese growth surprises on stock returns in emerging and advanced economies, the IMF found after analyzing the effect of Chinese industrial-production figures that missed market expectations. (Source: Bloomberg)

Japan: Yen approaches 18-month high as traders weigh BOJ policy limits. Japan’s currency appreciated 6.8% in the first quarter, signaling that three years of stimulus have been priced in. Concerns about a global economic slowdown have prompted investors to buy yen this year. The BOJ’s surprise Jan. 29 decision to adopt negative interest rates has failed to rein in the rally. (Source: Bloomberg)





Other news:

Automotive: Miti reviewing Proton’s loan application. Miti said a vital consideration of the review is the welfare of Proton’s 12,000 employees as well as 47,000 workers employed by company’s 350 components manufacturers and services-related vendors. Mito also said Proton’s position as a national car project will be taken into consideration, as will the real and urgent need for Proton to implement a sustainable, even difficult restructuring plan that can ensure its long-term economic viability. Proton has reportedly bled MYR2.5b in the four years since it was taken over by DRB-Hicom. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Boustead Holdings: Foresees rebound in 2016 earnings. It expects to generate at least MYR500m through its asset disposal exercise this year and is confident that it will register better financial performance in 2016, supported mainly by the heavy industries and plantation sectors. Boustead Holdings said the heavy industries segment will return to the black in 2016 with the shift in focus towards the navy segment, which could see sustainable demand. For the plantation business, it foresees the rebound of CPO price to about MYR3,000 per tonne in the third quarter of the year, which will continue to support the sector’s growth. (Source: The Sun Daily)

SP Setia: Confirms key officers. The group has confirmed Datuk Khor Chap Jen as its president and CEO, Datuk Wong Tuck Wai as its deputy president and COO, and Choy Kah Yew as its CFO effective April 1, 2016. Khor is the first president and CEO of the group to be confirmed by the board since Liew’s departure. Datuk Voon Tin Yow, who replaced Liew, was the acting president and CEO until Dec 31, 2014. Khor, 56, assumed the role of acting president and CEO on Jan 1, 2015. He was previously the acting deputy president and COO from May 1, 2014 till Dec 31, 2014. (Source: The Sun Daily)


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