Friday, April 29, 2016

Daily FX Update, 29 April 2016

OVERNIGHT MARKET UPDATE:
·         US – US advanced Q1 GDP rose a soft 0.5% saar, which was slightly below market expectations 0.7% growth and the slowest pace in two years as business slashed investment by the steepest amount since Great Recession.
·         US – The initial jobless claims at last week rose by 9,000 to 257,000, but remained near the four-decade low.
·         Euro area – The German unemployment rate held steady at 6.2% in April, while the number of jobless dropped by 16,000, suggesting that a gradual labour market improvement is continuing.
·         Euro area – German Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) dropped by 0.1% on the year after a 0.1% rise in March, as the energy remained the drag.
·         Japan – Bank of Japan unexpectedly held off on expanding monetary stimulus, as policy makers opted to take more time to assess the impact of negative interest rates. Market players were clamouring for some action in response to a strengthening in the yen. Separately, BoJ postponed their time frame for reaching a 2% inflation target.
·         Currencies – The Japanese yen posted its largest gain against the dollar in more than seven years after the BoJ’s decision to stand pat.
·         Equities – US stock markets started off on a sour note after the BoJ’s decision. Sentiment further weakened on news that US GDP grew at the slowest pace in 2 years. As a result, Dow Jones closed 1.2% lower, the worst day in over 2 months.
·         Rates – US Treasury yields dropped to fresh one-week lows after the weak US GDP data. Selling pressure in equity markets also fuelled demand for haven assets.
·         Energy – A weaker USD and stronger fundamentals continued to push crude oil prices higher. Sentiment remained positive as the impact of further falls in US crude oil production. Another fall in the US oil rig count points to further weakness in output.
·         Precious Metals – The BoJ’s decision not to ease saw a surge in the yen and stronger investor demand hit the gold market.

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