Published on 31 December 2014
RAM Ratings has reaffirmed the AA2/stable
rating of United Growth Berhad’s Islamic MTN Programme of up to RM2.2
billion (2012/2042). United Growth – a special-purpose company set up to
raise the IMTN – is wholly owned by UEM Group Berhad (the Group).
Through an irrevocable and unconditional purchase undertaking between
United Growth and UEM, the sukukholders are effectively exposed to UEM’s
senior unsecured credit risk. As such, the rating of the IMTN reflects
the credit risk of UEM.
The rating is supported by UEM’s favourable corporate
lineage given that it is wholly owned by Khazanah Nasional Berhad, the
investment arm of the Malaysian Government. We deem UEM to be important
to the Government in view of the Group’s stakes in strategic tolled
roads and vast land holdings in Nusajaya (part of Iskandar Malaysia, an
important economic corridor). Based on RAM’s methodology on
government-linked entities, we expect a moderately high likelihood of
support. Notwithstanding being a government linked corporate entity and
wholly owned by Khazanah, UEM is expected to operate independently and
provide the required return on investment to its sole shareholder, as
has happened in the past.
UEM enjoys a diversified business profile,
underpinned by its 4 core businesses of expressways, engineering and
construction, property development, and asset and facility management
(AFM). While the construction segment dominates its top line,
contributions from non-construction businesses account for the bulk of
its pre-tax profits. The stable performance of its expressways and AFM
divisions will help mitigate the Group’s exposure to the cyclical
natures of the construction and property sectors. Additionally, its
expressways, property development and AFM segments have strong business
profiles.
Despite a debt burden of RM4.80 billion as at
end-June 2014, UEM displays a strong balance sheet, with respective
gearing and net gearing ratios of 0.48 and 0.08 (including money-market
investments) times. While the Group’s funds from operations (FFO) debt
coverage is deemed adequate, its large reserves of cash and money-market
investments facilitated an annualised FFO net-debt coverage of above 1
time for 1H FY Dec 2014. UEM also boasts a strong liquidity position,
backed by RM4.05 billion of cash reserves (after including money-market
investments) against RM633.21 million of short-term debts. Moving
forward, we expect the Group’s debt level to increase over the next 2
years, mainly to fund its investments and growth, whilst its balance
sheet is anticipated to remain robust. Over the same period, its gearing
and net gearing ratios are anticipated to stay below 0.6 and 0.3 times,
respectively. The Group’s FFO debt coverage is expected to hover around
the mid-teens while its FFO net-debt coverage should remain strong.
Nonetheless, we are cautious about any substantial increase in debts or
depletion in its huge cash pile to fund the Group’s investments, the
plans for which have yet to be firmed up. In such an event, the Group’s
current strong financial profile could change abruptly.
Despite its established domestic presence, UEM’s
construction business has a less favourable track record given the
incidence of construction delays that have led to thinner margins and
losses. The segment’s order book had shrunk to RM4.1 billion as at
end-June 2014 (end-May 2013: RM5.2 billion), although we do not foresee
issues with job replenishment. We opine, however, that UEM is fairly
dependent on developments in Nusajaya. Given the general slowdown in the
property market and the keener competition within Iskandar Malaysia,
the Group’s revenue and earnings could weaken in the medium term. We
also expect lower dividends from its toll-road concessions going
forward, due to scheduled principal repayments. The Group faces
regulatory risks in its domestic and foreign toll-road projects.
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