Tuesday, July 25, 2017

Rohas Technic: To buy 75% in EPCC player HG Power for MYR91.66m. Loss making Rohas Technic plans to buy a 75% stake in HG Power Transmission S/B for MYR91.66m in cash and shares, to expand its existing business in the power and telecommunication industries. It plans to issue new shares in the group at 95 sen a piece. The MYR22.5m cash portion will b



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Malaysia Automotive | A decent 1H17
Ivan Yap









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Malaysia | Above-5% GDP growth momentum intact
Suhaimi Ilias







Malaysia | FBMKLCI – Breaking out from Slumber
Nik Ihsan Raja Abdullah








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COMPANY RESEARCH





Company Update





Wah Seong (WSC MK)
by Thong Jung Liaw





Share Price:
MYR0.96
Target Price:
MYR1.30
Recommendation:
Buy




Strengthening its balance sheet

WSC’s sale & leaseback of two properties with Axis REIT (AXRB MK; HOLD; TP: MYR1.70) for MYR155m is decent. WSC gets to monetise its assets, gaining a one-off MYR98m and lower its gearing level from this transaction. We expect WSC to further strengthen its balance sheet, for it still has a number of assets in its book for such exercises (i.e. disposal/ sales & leaseback). Our TP is pegged to 12x 2018 PER.



FYE Dec (MYR m)
FY15A
FY16A
FY17E
FY18E
Revenue
1,839.5
1,276.6
2,150.0
2,198.4
EBITDA
143.3
53.6
233.8
241.3
Core net profit
22.7
(23.3)
77.2
83.5
Core EPS (sen)
2.9
(3.0)
10.0
10.8
Core EPS growth (%)
(84.4)
nm
nm
8.2
Net DPS (sen)
3.0
0.5
0.0
0.0
Core P/E (x)
32.7
nm
9.6
8.9
P/BV (x)
0.7
0.9
0.8
0.7
Net dividend yield (%)
3.1
0.5
0.0
0.0
ROAE (%)
0.9
(23.2)
20.1
8.4
ROAA (%)
0.8
(0.8)
2.7
2.6
EV/EBITDA (x)
12.2
30.4
7.0
6.3
Net debt/equity (%)
73.6
104.7
74.0
57.8


Thong Jung Liaw








TP Revision





Axis REIT (AXRB MK)
by Kevin Wong





Share Price:
MYR1.64
Target Price:
MYR1.75
Recommendation:
Hold




Results in-line; Buys industrial assets in Kuantan

Axis’ 2Q17 results and second gross DPU of 2.17sen (YTD: 4.32sen) were in line whereby earnings growth was driven by lower opex. Elsewhere, we are positive on Axis’ proposed acquisition of industrial assets in Pahang which is earnings accretive. We nudge up FY18-19 earnings forecasts by 3% p.a., DDM-TP by 5sen to MYR1.75 (cost of equity: 7.8%).



FYE Dec (MYR m)
FY15A
FY16A
FY17E
FY18E
Revenue
165.7
171.3
178.7
205.5
Net property income
141.9
144.3
152.4
176.0
Distributable income
91.5
90.2
99.2
105.6
DPU (sen)
7.6
7.4
8.1
8.6
DPU growth (%)
(14.9)
(1.8)
8.8
6.4
Price/DPU(x)
21.7
22.1
20.3
19.1
P/BV (x)
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.3
DPU yield (%)
4.6
4.5
4.9
5.2
ROAE (%)
7.2
8.9
7.1
7.6
ROAA (%)
4.3
4.1
4.4
4.3
Debt/Assets (x)
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.4







SECTOR RESEARCH






A decent 1H17
by Ivan Yap


Sector Note





June 2017 TIV remained healthy at 50.3k units (-1% MoM, -12% YoY), bringing 1H17 TIV to 284.5k units (+3% YoY). This is within our 2017 TIV forecast of 610k (+5% YoY), expecting a stronger 2H17 from year-end sales campaigns and mass-market launches. We expect July TIV to slow down following stronger sales post pre-Hari Raya sales campaigns in May-June. We remain POSITIVE from a bottom-up stock pick with BUYs on MBM and Pecca for Perodua exposure, and TCM on trough valuations.









MACRO RESEARCH






Above-5% GDP growth momentum intact
by Suhaimi Ilias


Economics Research





Index of leading economic indicators rose +1.9% YoY in May 2017 (Apr 2017: +1.3% YoY), implying the real GDP growth momentum is sustained in 2Q 2017 and into 3Q 2017 after the +5.6% YoY expansion in 1Q 2017. Our full-year 2017 real GDP growth forecast is +5.1% currently and we expect the official growth forecast of 4.3%-4.8% to be raised soon.












FBMKLCI – Breaking out from Slumber
by Nik Ihsan Raja Abdullah


Technical Research





FBMKLCI rose 2.83pts to close at 1,761.99 yesterday as dollar weakened. Market breadth, however, was relatively weak, with losers outpacing gainers by 516 to 314. A total of 1.66b shares worth MYR1.67b changed hands. Expect local bourses to trade in a tight range in view of the lackluster US markets. All eyes will also be on the Bursa Malaysia’s Leading Entrepreneur Accelerator Platform, or the LEAP Market. We expect FBMKLCI to range between 1,755 and 1,770 today.







NEWS


Outside Malaysia:

Global: The IMF left its forecast for growth unchanged in the latest quarterly update to its World Economic Outlook. The world economy will expand 3.5% this year, up from 3.2% in 2016, and by 3.6% next year, the IMF said. The forecasts for this year and next are unchanged from the fund’s projections in April. Beneath the headline figures, though, the drivers of the recovery are shifting, with the world relying less than expected on the U.S. and U.K. and more on China, Japan, the euro zone and Canada, according to IMF. (Source: Bloomberg)

U.S. Home re-sales ease as lean inventory drives prices higher. A slowdown in sales of previously owned U.S. homes shows how lean inventories are keeping prices elevated and limiting purchasing options, National Association of Realtors data showed. Contract closings fell 1.8% MoM to a 5.52m annual rate while median sales price rose 6.5% YoY to a record USD 263,800. Inventory of available properties fell 7.1% YoY to 1.96m, marking the 25th consecutive year-on-year decline. (Source: Bloomberg)

E.U: Growth in the euro-region economy started the third quarter at the weakest pace in six months as manufacturing cooled. A composite Purchasing Managers’ Index fell to 55.8 in July from 56.3 in June, IHS Markit said. The figures indicate that GDP is expanding at a 0.6% quarterly pace, compared with 0.7% in the second three months of the year. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said last week that that the region isn’t yet ready for a reduction in the unprecedented stimulus. While growth appears to be firming, prices aren’t picking up fast enough to get to the ECB’s target without help from record low interest rates and continued bond buying. (Source: Bloomberg)

U.K: IMF revised down its 2017 growth forecast, citing slower-than-expected expansion at the start of the year. The pace will slow to 1.7% from 1.8% in 2016, after predicting a pickup to 2% in April. The cut comes after growth in the first three months of the year dipped to 0.2%, and data this week are likely to show barely any recovery in the second quarter. While the U.K. initially performed better than many expected after the Brexit vote in June 2016, accelerating inflation is starting to crimp consumer spending, the biggest driver of the economy. (Source: Bloomberg)

Crude Oil: Holds advance as Saudis pledge deep export cuts. Saudi Arabia will cap shipments at 6.6 million barrels a day in August, 1 million lower than a year earlier, Energy and Industry Minister Khalid Al-Falih said in St. Petersburg. U.S. crude stockpiles probably fell for a fourth week through July 21, according to a Bloomberg survey before government data. Brent for September settlement was USD 48.60/bbl. (Source: Bloomberg)





Other News:

Rohas Technic: To buy 75% in EPCC player HG Power for MYR91.66m. Loss making Rohas Technic plans to buy a 75% stake in HG Power Transmission S/B for MYR91.66m in cash and shares, to expand its existing business in the power and telecommunication industries. It plans to issue new shares in the group at 95 sen a piece. The MYR22.5m cash portion will be funded internally. Rohas Technic's share price closed unchanged at MYR1.15, with some 209,200 shares changing hands. (Source: The Sun Daily)

Wah Seong: Selling Gebeng property to Axis REIT for MYR155m.Wah Seong is selling its Gebeng property in Pahang to Axis Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) for MYR155m cash consideration, which will see it recording a one-off net gain of nearly MYR98m. The disposal will result in a one-off net gain of approximately MYR97.70m, it said. Of the MYR155m proceeds received from the sale, Wah Seong said MYR105m would be used to repay debts and MYR50m as working capital.(Source: The Star)

CIMB Group: CIMB subsidiary Touch 'n Go teams up with Alipay to launch e-wallet. Its subsidiary Touch 'n Go has entered into an equity joint venture (JV) with Alipay, a subsidiary of Ant Financial Services Group to launch a new e-wallet platform in Malaysia. The JV company, in which Touch ’n Go will hold a majority stake, will develop an e-wallet for use via mobile phones by individuals and small and medium enterprises (SMEs) here, before bringing in banks and merchants to link their services with the platform. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)


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