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FEATURE
CALLS
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Malaysia | Genting Bhd
Like GENM? Love
GENS? Then, BUY GENT (Part 2)
Samuel Yin Shao
Yang
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Share
Price:
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MYR9.08
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Target
Price:
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MYR11.90
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Recommendation:
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Buy
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Like GENM? Love
GENS? Then, BUY GENT (Part 2)
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Since mid-2016, GENT’s share price appreciated only 15%
while that of GENS and GENM surged 45% and 30% respectively (Fig 1). In
this report, we address five frequently asked questions (FAQs) to
reaffirm our BUY call. We tweak our FY17/FY18/FY19 earnings estimates
by +1%/+3%/+3% and SOP-based TP by +3% to MYR11.90 (Fig 2) to account
for our higher GENM earnings estimates and TP (link). We continue to
prefer GENT as a cheaper proxy to GENS and GENM.
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FYE Dec (MYR m)
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FY15A
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FY16A
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FY17E
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FY18E
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Revenue
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18,100.4
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18,365.8
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19,751.2
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22,380.5
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EBITDA
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5,393.8
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6,028.2
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7,537.2
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8,883.9
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Core net profit
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1,297.6
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1,525.3
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2,316.5
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2,910.8
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Core FDEPS (sen)
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34.8
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40.8
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55.2
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68.6
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Core FDEPS growth(%)
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(24.3)
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17.1
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35.6
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24.1
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Net DPS (sen)
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3.5
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12.5
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8.1
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10.1
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Core FD P/E (x)
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26.1
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22.3
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16.4
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13.2
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P/BV (x)
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1.0
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1.0
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0.9
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0.9
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Net dividend yield (%)
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0.4
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1.4
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0.9
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1.1
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ROAE (%)
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4.7
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6.4
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6.8
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7.6
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ROAA (%)
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1.6
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1.7
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2.5
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3.0
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EV/EBITDA (x)
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8.3
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7.6
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7.5
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6.2
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Net debt/equity (%)
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net cash
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net cash
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net cash
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net cash
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Share
Price:
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MYR0.14
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Target
Price:
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MYR0.08
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Recommendation:
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Sell
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Defaulted on its
Sukuk
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Alam Maritim has missed the MYR30m Sukuk Ijarah MTN
payment due on 6 Jul 2017. For this, MARC has downgraded its Sukuk
ratings to D, from BB. We cut our TP to MYR0.08 (-38%), valuing Alam at
0.1x of BV, similar to peers (Perisai and Swiber), which went through a
similar predicament. Maintain SELL.
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FYE Dec (MYR m)
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FY15A
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FY16A
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FY17E
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FY18E
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Revenue
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350.2
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229.5
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246.0
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282.1
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EBITDA
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79.9
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(27.8)
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44.2
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54.9
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Core net profit
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68.1
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(133.0)
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0.5
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9.7
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Core EPS (sen)
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7.4
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(14.4)
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0.1
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1.1
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Core EPS growth (%)
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14.4
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nm
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nm
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1,904.8
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Net DPS (sen)
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0.0
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0.0
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0.0
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0.0
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Core P/E (x)
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1.9
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nm
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266.2
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13.3
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P/BV (x)
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0.1
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0.2
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0.2
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0.2
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Net dividend yield (%)
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0.0
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0.0
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0.0
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0.0
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ROAE (%)
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5.8
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(22.3)
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0.1
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1.3
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ROAA (%)
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5.2
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(12.4)
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0.1
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1.0
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EV/EBITDA (x)
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5.8
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nm
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4.7
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3.2
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Net debt/equity (%)
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7.8
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14.9
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11.1
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6.3
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MACRO RESEARCH
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Record trade deficit in May 2017
by
Suhaimi Ilias
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Exports growth eased in May 2017 to +13.7% YoY
(revised Apr 2017: +19.1% YoY; previously: +12.1% YoY) while imports
growth rebounded sharply by +16.6% YoY (Apr 2017: -0.1% YoY),
resulting in record trade deficit of -USD2.75b (Apr 2017:
-USD1.753b). However trade deficit in Jan-May 2017 of –USD11.0b rose
by a moderate +3.9% compared with the +218.3% and +118.2% jumps in
Jan-May 2016 and the whole of last year.
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Suhaimi Ilias
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Zamros
Dzulkafli
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Brent Crude Oil Outlook Remains Weak
by Nik
Ihsan Raja Abdullah
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FBMKLCI ended slightly lower yesterday, easing 2.1pts
to close at 1,755.03, with banking stocks taking the brunt of
selling. Sentiment was negative with losers outpacing gainers by 715
to 198. A total of 1.73b shares worth MYR2.07b changed hands. As oil price
continued to strengthen, market may find some respite after losing
for three consecutive days. However, choppy trading is expected ahead
of Janet Yellen’s testimony to Congress.
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Nik Ihsan Raja
Abdullah
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Tee Sze Chiah
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NEWS
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Outside Malaysia:
U.S: Decline in job openings cushioned by stronger hiring
rate. A decline in U.S. job openings in May from close to a record high
is still consistent with resilient demand for workers, a Labor Department
report showed. Number of positions waiting to be filled fell by 301k to
5.67m (est. 5.95m) from revised 5.97m in April, according to Job Openings
and Labor Turnover Survey or JOLTS. Hiring rose to 5.47m from 5.04m;
hiring rate increased to 3.7% from 3.5%. A total of 3.22m Americans quit
their jobs, up from 3.04m; quits rate rose to 2.2% from 2.1%. Layoffs
edged up to 1.66m from 1.61m. (Source: Bloomberg)
U.K: Retail sales rebounded in the second quarter,
climbing the most since 2013 as warm weather tempted shoppers, according
to the British Retail Consortium. Retail sales rose 2.1% on a
like-for-like basis, the British Retail Consortium said. Food sales
jumped 3.6%, while non-food expenditure increased 0.9%. While consumers
have so far been a driver of growth since Britain’s vote to leave the
European Union last year, the BRC data bucks a recent weakening trend.
Shop sales plunged in May, according to the Office for National
Statistics, and a report by IHS Markit and Visa showed consumer spending
posted its worst quarter since 2013 in the three months through June.
(Source: Bloomberg)
Italy: Production rises more than expected, boosting
outlook. Italian industrial production rebounded in May, signaling that
economic growth for the rest of the year may equal or exceed the pace
posted in the first quarter. Production increased 0.7% from April, when
it fell a revised 0.5%, statistics agency Istat said. On an annual,
workday adjusted basis, industrial output was up 2.8% in May. (Source:
Bloomberg)
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Other News:
ML Global: Subsidiary accepts LoA for MYR68.14m project.
Its indirect 70%-owned subsidiary, MGB Geotech S/B, has accepted a letter
of award from Samling Ekovest JV S/B to undertake piling works worth
MYR68.14m in Bau, Lundu and KSR Section in Sarawak. With the project in
hand, the group’s current outstanding order book is about MYR2.05b.The
construction period is for 20 months, with completion by Oct 31,
2018.(Source: The Star)
Sealink: To see MYR52m proceeds from charter, sale of
vessels. The group has bagged a charter contract for one of its safety
standby vessels and is selling two ageing vessels for MYR52m in total.
The disposal of the vessels is part of the group's strategy to
continually modernise and upgrade its fleet of vessels. It plans to use
the sale proceeds for working capital. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)
UPA: To get MYR32.6m from compulsory government land
acquisition for MRT2. Paper and printing machine seller UPA Corp said the
government, via the Federal Territory Lands and Mines Office, has
notified the firm that it would be awarded MYR32.67m for the compulsory
acquisition of three plots of land it owns. The compulsory acquisition
will pave way for the government to construct the second mass rapid
transit line, which will be traversing from Sungai Buloh to Putrajaya via
Serdang.(Source: The Edge Financial Daily)
T7 Global: Optimistic on FY17 with jobs secured last year.
T7 Global, formerly known as Tanjung Offshore, is optimistic about
continuing to post positive results for the remaining quarters of
financial year ending Dec 31, 2017 (FY17). This will be supported by a
number of projects secured previously, which will keep the group busy for
several years. The group's current orderbook now stands at MYR500m, while
its tenderbook is valued at over MYR1b. The group is currently bidding
for several more projects worth billions. (Source: The Edge Financial
Daily)
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