Friday, July 28, 2017

Caring Pharmacy: 4Q net profit jumps 59.2% on higher sales. Net profit for the fourth quarter of financial year ended May 31, 2017 grew by 59.2% to MYR4.36m or two sen per share from MYR2.74m or 1.26 sen per share in the corresponding quarter a year ago, mainly contributed by higher sales generated from existing outlets. Caring proposed a final dividend of three sen per share, tax exempt under the single-tier system, in respect of FY17, subject to shareholders' approval at the group's annual general meeting. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)






Tenaga Nasional | No major concerns
Chi Wei Tan







Malaysia Airports | 2Q17F looking good, but all priced in
Mohshin Aziz







Pavilion REIT | 2Q17 in line; acquires Pavilion Elite
Kevin Wong







Heineken Malaysia | 2Q17: Briefing takeaways
Liew Wei Han








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COMPANY RESEARCH





TP Revision





Tenaga Nasional (TNB MK)
by Chi Wei Tan





Share Price:
MYR14.24
Target Price:
MYR16.20
Recommendation:
Buy




No major concerns

While 9MFY17 results were below expectations, the cause was non-recurring (reversal of interest income on PPA savings) and is unlikely to raise major concern. Tenaga remains our top pick for the sector, given its compelling valuation and stable earnings profile. We maintain our view that regulatory developments are unlikely to adversely impact Tenaga’s profitability. Reiterate BUY with a marginally lower MYR16.20 TP (-1%) after a 4% trim in our FY17 net profit forecast.



FYE Aug (MYR m)
FY15A
FY16A
FY17E
FY18E
Revenue
43,286.8
44,531.5
48,470.6
49,809.9
EBITDA
13,921.8
14,794.2
15,566.9
15,927.0
Core net profit
7,050.7
7,725.8
7,258.0
7,640.4
Core EPS (sen)
124.9
136.9
128.6
135.4
Core EPS growth (%)
29.9
9.6
(6.1)
5.3
Net DPS (sen)
29.0
32.0
38.6
40.6
Core P/E (x)
11.4
10.4
11.1
10.5
P/BV (x)
1.7
1.5
1.4
1.3
Net dividend yield (%)
2.0
2.2
2.7
2.9
ROAE (%)
13.5
14.8
13.2
12.7
ROAA (%)
6.2
6.2
5.4
5.5
EV/EBITDA (x)
5.7
6.8
6.5
6.2
Net debt/equity (%)
33.3
32.6
35.8
28.2










Rating Change





Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)
by Mohshin Aziz





Share Price:
MYR8.75
Target Price:
MYR8.05
Recommendation:
Hold




2Q17F looking good, but all priced in

MAHB’s 2Q17 results (out on 31 July) look to be solid as total passenger traffic growth soared by 11.6% YoY and the higher yielding international passenger mix has increased by 2ppt YoY to 45.8%. We estimate a 2Q17 core net profit of MYR71m (versus a MYR12m loss in 2Q16 and +10% QoQ). We downgrade MAHB to HOLD as the share price has exceeded our DCF-based target price of MYR8.05 (WACC: 9.7%, terminal growth: 2%).



FYE Dec (MYR m)
FY15A
FY16A
FY17E
FY18E
Revenue
3,870.2
4,172.8
4,613.7
4,920.5
EBITDA
1,342.0
1,488.9
1,725.1
1,819.1
Core net profit
(113.3)
48.2
403.9
445.3
Core EPS (sen)
(7.1)
2.9
24.3
26.8
Core EPS growth (%)
nm
nm
738.0
10.3
Net DPS (sen)
1.0
1.7
8.3
9.0
Core P/E (x)
nm
301.2
35.9
32.6
P/BV (x)
1.6
1.7
1.6
1.6
Net dividend yield (%)
0.1
0.2
0.9
1.0
ROAE (%)
0.5
0.8
5.2
5.5
ROAA (%)
(0.5)
0.2
1.9
2.1
EV/EBITDA (x)
10.1
9.4
10.6
9.6
Net debt/equity (%)
52.2
46.1
41.3
31.2










Results Review





Pavilion REIT (PREIT MK)
by Kevin Wong





Share Price:
MYR1.75
Target Price:
MYR1.75
Recommendation:
Hold




2Q17 in line; acquires Pavilion Elite

2Q17 results and first gross DPU of 3.96sen were in line. The softer earnings growth was mainly due to higher opex across all malls. PavREIT have also proposed to acquire Pavilion Elite and we are positive on the deal. Consequently, we raise earnings forecasts by +6% p.a. but maintain our DDM-TP of MYR1.75 (cost of equity: 7.5%).



FYE Dec (MYR m)
FY15A
FY16A
FY17E
FY18E
Revenue
413.9
459.7
489.7
563.5
Net property income
291.5
314.8
328.3
382.8
Distributable income
248.9
248.8
255.5
295.8
DPU (sen)
7.4
7.4
7.6
8.2
DPU growth (%)
3.1
0.5
2.3
7.7
Price/DPU(x)
23.7
23.6
23.1
21.4
P/BV (x)
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.2
DPU yield (%)
4.2
4.2
4.3
4.7
ROAE (%)
6.3
6.1
6.0
6.3
ROAA (%)
5.1
4.5
4.2
4.5
Debt/Assets (x)
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.2










Company Update





Heineken Malaysia (HEIM MK)
by Liew Wei Han





Share Price:
MYR17.96
Target Price:
MYR18.30
Recommendation:
Hold




2Q17: Briefing takeaways

Since 2H16, we understand that HEIM has started to integrate its procurement processes with Heineken N.V.. While demand could remain soft on still weak consumer sentiment, global procurement initiatives and HEIM’s ongoing cost management drive could help support earnings in the near term. We expect a seasonally stronger 2H17.



FYE Jun (MYR m)
FY15A
FY16A
FY17E
FY18E
Revenue
1,748.9
2,810.3
1,844.8
1,919.2
EBITDA
329.0
607.2
431.0
448.4
Core net profit
214.2
427.3
287.0
301.6
Core EPS (sen)
70.9
141.4
95.0
99.8
Core EPS growth (%)
8.1
99.5
(32.8)
5.1
Net DPS (sen)
71.0
145.0
95.0
100.0
Core P/E (x)
25.3
12.7
18.9
18.0
P/BV (x)
14.4
13.8
13.3
12.8
Net dividend yield (%)
4.0
8.1
5.3
5.6
ROAE (%)
58.4
111.2
71.7
72.7
ROAA (%)
30.7
57.1
36.3
37.4
EV/EBITDA (x)
13.2
8.3
12.5
12.0
Net debt/equity (%)
6.0
17.8
net cash
net cash








NEWS


Outside Malaysia:

U.S. Business equipment orders eased last month after robust May. The U.S. economy is experiencing steady but slower growth in business investment as orders for capital equipment eased last month following a May increase that was bigger than previously reported, Commerce Department data showed. Non-military capital goods orders excluding aircraft fell 0.1% after prior month’s 0.7% jump. Shipments of those goods, which are used to calculate GDP, rose 0.2% after 0.4% increase. Bookings for all durable goods surged 6.5% following 0.1% drop. Excluding transportation-equipment demand, which is volatile, orders rose 0.2% after 0.6% advance. (Source: Bloomberg)

U.S: Narrower goods-trade gap indicates boost to pace of growth. A narrower-than-projected U.S. merchandise- trade deficit in June, together with rising inventories at wholesalers and retailers, signal positive news for economic growth, according to preliminary figures from the Commerce Department. Goods-trade gap shrank to USD 63.9b, the smallest in 2017, from USD 66.3b the prior month. Wholesale inventories increased 0.6% MoM. Retail stockpiles rose 0.6% MoM after a similar gain. Exports of goods increased 1.4% MoM in June from the previous month; imports fell by 0.4% MoM. (Source: Bloomberg)

Japan: Inflation stalls at 0.4% YoY even as job market tightens. Japan’s key price gauge was unchanged in June, helped by rising power costs. The tight labor market may also start to help inflation, which remains far from the central bank’s 2% target. Core consumer prices, which exclude fresh food, increased 0.4% YoY in June. Excluding fresh food and energy, prices were unchanged. The unemployment rate fell to 2.8%. Household spending rose 2.3% YoY, its first gain in more than a year. (Source: Bloomberg)





Other News:

Caring Pharmacy: 4Q net profit jumps 59.2% on higher sales. Net profit for the fourth quarter of financial year ended May 31, 2017 grew by 59.2% to MYR4.36m or two sen per share from MYR2.74m or 1.26 sen per share in the corresponding quarter a year ago, mainly contributed by higher sales generated from existing outlets. Caring proposed a final dividend of three sen per share, tax exempt under the single-tier system, in respect of FY17, subject to shareholders' approval at the group's annual general meeting. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Malaysia Airlines: To seal partnership for haj charter carrier by 1Q18. The group expects to finalise its strategic partnership for the haj charter carrier by the first quarter of next year, said its group chief executive officer Peter Bellew.Bellew said the new charter airline would be registered as a separate entity and carry a new image, logo, aircraft colour and configuration. He said the new airline would create 600 to 700 jobs, including pilots, cabin crews and engineers when it is fully operational and would charter six Airbus A380 jetliners from Malaysia Airlines. (Source: The Star)

Ancom: Continues turnaround in 4Q with MYR3.89m net profit. The group continued with its financial turnaround with a net profit of MYR3.89m in its fourth quarter ended May 31, 2017, compared with a net loss of MYR5.19m a year earlier, due to higher revenue from its agricultural and industrial chemicals sector and media segment. Quarterly revenue was up 28.23% at MYR477.48m, compared with MYR372.35m previously. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)


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