Monday, July 10, 2017

Consumer price inflation in Indonesia inched up to 4.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) in June from 4.3% y-o-y in May as all major subindexes climbed at a faster pace. In the Republic of Korea, inflation eased slightly to 1.9% y-o-y in June from 2.0% y-



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News Highlights - Week of 3 - 7 June 2017

Consumer price inflation in Indonesia inched up to 4.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) in June from 4.3% y-o-y in May as all major subindexes climbed at a faster pace. In the Republic of Korea, inflation eased slightly to 1.9% y-o-y in June from 2.0% y-o-y in May. Consumer price inflation in the Philippines was 2.8% y-o-y in June, down from 3.1% y-o-y in May. In Thailand, consumer prices dipped again in June, falling 0.05% y-o-y after decreasing 0.04% y-o-y in May. June’s decrease in Thailand was mainly due to the 0.7% y-o-y drop in prices of food and nonalcoholic beverages, which comprise 36.1% of the Consumer Price Index.

*     On 5 July, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of Thailand voted unanimously to keep the policy rate unchanged at 1.50%. The committee assessed that Thailand’s economy continues to improve based on a better outlook for exports and a gradual expansion in domestic demand. On 7 July, the State Bank of Vietnam, cut by 25 basis points its refinance rate to 6.25% and the discount rate to 4.25%. The rate cut, which comes into effect on 10 July, aims to boost economic growth and help contain inflation.

*     Since rising above the 50-point threshold in September 2016, Singapore’s Purchasing Managers Index maintained its momentum in June, increasing to 50.9 from 50.8 in May. The rise can be attributed to improvements in new orders and new exports, factory output, and inventory.

*     The Republic of Korea’s current account surplus widened to USD5.9 billion in May from USD3.9 billion in April. Despite the smaller trade-in-goods surplus posted in May from a month earlier, the larger current account surplus was due to the smaller deficits recorded in all other accounts. Malaysia’s export growth strengthened in May, expanding 32.5% y-o-y for a monthly export total of MYR79.4 billion. Import growth also remained strong in May at 30.4% y-o-y for a monthly import total of MYR73.9 billion. The trade balance registered a surplus of MYR5.5 billion in May, lower than the MYR8.7 billion surplus in April.

*     Last week, the Japan Credit Rating Agency affirmed the Philippines’ foreign currency and local currency long-term issuer rating of BBB+ and maintained a stable outlook. Japan Credit Rating Agency stated that the affirmation reflected the economy’s robust gross domestic expansion that is being driven by strong domestic demand, a sound external position supported by declining external debt and the accumulation of foreign exchange reserves, and a continued reduction of the government’s debt burden.

*     Olam International, a leading agribusiness company with its holding company headquartered in Singapore, last week issued SGD300 million worth of perpetual non-call notes priced at par to yield 5.5%. The bond issuance was Olam International’s fifth this year and the eighth issuance of perpetual bonds in the Singapore dollar bond market in 2017.

*     Malaysia’s foreign reserves amounted to USD98.9 billion at the end of June, up from USD98.0 billion at the end of May. The reserve position is enough to cover 7.9 months of retained imports and is equivalent to 1.1 times the amount of short-term external debt.

*     Local currency government bond yields rose for most tenors in the PRC; Hong Kong, China; Indonesia; the Republic of Korea; Malaysia; and the Philippines. Yields rose for all tenors in Singapore. Meanwhile, yields fell for most tenors in Thailand and Viet Nam. Yield spreads between the 2-year and 10-year tenors widened in all markets except in Indonesia, Malaysia, and Viet Nam.

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