Monday, June 5, 2017

WCT: On track with leaner balance sheet, REIT by year end. The company is on track with its de-leveraging strategies, as it prepares to list its long-delayed real estate investment trust (REIT) by the end of this year. Speaking to reporters after the company’s AGM earlier this week, group managing director Datuk Lee Tuck Fook indicated that the REIT listing is likely to be concluded by the end of this year. The launch of the REIT is expected to unlock the value of WCT’s assets and pare down its debts. Via the REIT listing, which will hold an asset size of about MYR1.1b, WCT is expected to raise up to MYR400m in net proceeds. The REIT






IHH Healthcare | Premium Hospital Group
John Cheong









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Malaysia Banking | 1Q17 kicks off with earnings growth…for some banks
Desmond Ch'ng







Malaysia Oil & Gas | PETRONAS’ 1Q17 report card
Thong Jung Liaw









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COMPANY RESEARCH





Company Update





IHH Healthcare (IHH MK)
by John Cheong





Share Price:
MYR6.02
Target Price:
MYR6.17
Recommendation:
Hold




Premium Hospital Group

IHH is a proxy to the premium healthcare space in countries with growing demand, it has good track record of building up operations in markets lacking medical-pricing regulations and targets to scale up in markets with good demand for premium healthcare. IHH’s home markets include Singapore, Malaysia, Turkey and India. It has more than 3,000 new beds (+30%) in its Pipeline. Hong Kong should contribute in the medium term, China and India for long term. Maintain HOLD with SOTP-based TP of MYR6.17.



FYE Dec (MYR m)
FY15A
FY16A
FY17E
FY18E
Revenue
8,455.5
10,021.9
11,639.8
13,434.9
EBITDA
2,218.7
2,188.9
2,564.4
2,967.6
Core net profit
899.2
866.0
863.6
1,055.4
Core FDEPS (sen)
10.9
10.5
10.5
12.8
Core FDEPS growth(%)
14.5
(4.0)
(0.3)
22.2
Net DPS (sen)
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
Core FD P/E (x)
55.1
57.4
57.5
47.1
P/BV (x)
2.2
2.3
2.2
2.1
Net dividend yield (%)
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
ROAE (%)
4.5
2.8
3.9
4.6
ROAA (%)
2.8
2.4
2.3
2.7
EV/EBITDA (x)
27.4
27.0
22.4
19.2
Net debt/equity (%)
19.3
21.1
23.0
19.7







SECTOR RESEARCH






1Q17 kicks off with earnings growth…for some banks
by Desmond Ch'ng


Sector Note





Operationally, the 1Q17 results season was decent but fairly mixed for the banking sector. Cumulatively though, we do expect forward earnings momentum to be stronger. Aggregate 2017 net profit growth for stocks in our coverage is raised to 12.4% from 10.5% and this is a welcomed respite from three years of stagnant earnings. With the run-up in share prices and with RHB/AMMB now trading around their expected merger pricing of 1x PBV, choices are limited and we maintain our NEUTRAL.












PETRONAS’ 1Q17 report card
by Thong Jung Liaw


Sector Note





PETRONAS’ 1Q17 YoY earnings rebound is positive but was expected, generally in tune with its peers. We sense optimism in its outlook assessment albeit with a cautious undertone, on a modest recovery in oil price expectation. We take the view that the oil & gas sector has bottomed and is on a cyclical recovery. Our key select preferred BUYs are SAKP (TP: MYR2.30), Yinson (TP: MYR4.30), Dialog (TP: MYR2.23) and Wah Seong (TP: MYR1.30).


Thong Jung Liaw







MACRO RESEARCH






ASEAN Equities Seasonality Study for June – Recovery play
by Nik Ihsan Raja Abdullah


Technical Research





Based on weekly Heikin-Ashi chart, MSCI Asean Index (MXSO Index) has established a new short-term uptrend (from the low of 597.85). The index formed a series of higher low and broke out of the “Ichimoku Cloud” as well as the major resistance-turned-support zone at 547.00 to 553.00 recently. At current level, MXSO Index looks set to test its long-term downtrend line soon.







NEWS


Outside Malaysia:

Global: World Bank still sees growth picking up amid policy risks. The World Bank kept its outlook for the global economy unchanged, forecasting a modest pickup in growth despite uncertainty about monetary policy and the risk of a surge in protectionism. The development lender projects the world economy will grow by 2.7% this year and 2.9% the next, the same as its January forecast. “Global activity is firming broadly as expected,” the World Bank said in a report released. “Manufacturing and trade are picking up, confidence is improving, and international financing conditions remain benign.” Still, the lender warned that risks to its global outlook remain tilted to the downside. “Policy uncertainty is likely to remain high in 2017, and there is a risk that financial-market volatility could increase from current low levels,” the bank said. (Source: Bloomberg)

U.S: Slower hiring, unemployment drop give mixed labor signs. The U.S. labor market gave mixed signals in May, with a decline in the unemployment rate to a 16-year low contrasting with below-forecast hiring and wage growth, Labor Department figures showed. Payrolls rose 138k (est. 182k rise); March-April revisions subtracted 66k jobs. Unemployment rate, derived from a separate survey of households, fell to 4.3% (est. 4.4%) from 4.4%. Average hourly earnings rose by 0.2% m/m (matching est.); climbed 2.5% y/y (est. 2.6%). Cooler hiring may partly reflect the challenge of finding skilled and experienced workers amid a tightening job market. It may also be a sign businesses are reluctant to expand their workforce until they see more evidence the new administration’s plans are translating into legislation that’ll reduce taxes and spur growth. Even so, with the revisions, the three-month average of payroll gains was the weakest since 2012. (Source: Bloomberg)

S. Korea: Drafts KRW 11.2tr extra budget to boost jobs. South Korea’s finance ministry has drawn up an KRW 11.2tr (USD 10b) supplementary budget to help meet President Moon Jae-in’s effort to increase jobs and incomes. If passed by the parliament, the finance ministry plans to use KRW 4.2tr of the spending package to create 86,000 new jobs, 71,000 of them in the public sector, including positions for police officers, firefighters, assistant teachers and social workers. (Source: Bloomberg)





Other News:

WCT: On track with leaner balance sheet, REIT by year end. The company is on track with its de-leveraging strategies, as it prepares to list its long-delayed real estate investment trust (REIT) by the end of this year. Speaking to reporters after the company’s AGM earlier this week, group managing director Datuk Lee Tuck Fook indicated that the REIT listing is likely to be concluded by the end of this year. The launch of the REIT is expected to unlock the value of WCT’s assets and pare down its debts. Via the REIT listing, which will hold an asset size of about MYR1.1b, WCT is expected to raise up to MYR400m in net proceeds. The REIT will potentially comprise WCT’s own assets – Paradigm Mall in Petaling Jaya, AEON BBT Mall and Premiere Hotel in Klang. Other third-party assets could also be injected into the REIT. (Source: The Star)

TNB: Construction of solar project to start next month. The company is scheduled to commence the construction of its first large-scale solar project on a 97ha site in Kuala Langat, Selangor next month. According to the company, the land, which is currently being cleared in phases will be developed into solar farms (68ha), while the remaining is occupied by an existing high-voltage transmission line (29ha). It will be fully operational by November 2018, in which the project will generate and transmit 50MW of electricity to the national grid. (Source: Bernama)

Axiata: Launches 4G service in Nepal. The group’s 80%-owned Ncell has launched its 4G/LTE service in Nepal, with the service now available in the Kathmandu Valley, including Nagarkot, Banepa and Dhulikhel. The service was launched on June 1, and that all Ncell customers possessing Usim with 4G-compatible handsets will be able to experience the 4G from the same day onwards. The company is also planning and testing 4G service in 40 other cities nationwide, embracing a target that 15% of the population has access to 4G coverage within 2017. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)


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