Thursday, April 14, 2016

[Maybank IB] Today's Research - Malaysia



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Malaysia | The Corporates Present
Chew Hann Wong







Malaysia | Index may re-test 1,726
Lee Cheng Hooi








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COMPANY RESEARCH





Company Update





Berjaya Auto (BAUTO MK)
by Ivan Yap





Share Price:
MYR2.23
Target Price:
MYR2.40
Recommendation:
Buy




Change in ownership would be positive

The sale of Berjaya Group’s (BGroup) stake in BAuto to a special purpose vehicle (SPV) that is 33%/67% owned by BGroup and the current management of BAuto (led by CEO Datuk Seri Ben Yeoh) would be positive in that it would signify management’s confidence in the company. Further catalysts could, in our view, include potentially higher dividend payouts in the future as well the listing of its Philippines operations. Maintain BUY; MYR2.40 TP (11.5x CY17 PER) is unchanged.



FYE Apr (MYR m)
FY14A
FY15A
FY16E
FY17E
Revenue
1,450.8
1,830.4
2,301.8
2,922.2
EBITDA
172.1
290.1
268.3
295.0
Core net profit
140.8
222.9
193.9
210.9
Core EPS (sen)
12.4
19.5
16.9
18.4
Core EPS growth (%)
186.4
58.0
(13.4)
8.8
Net DPS (sen)
3.8
12.1
8.5
9.2
Core P/E (x)
18.0
11.4
13.2
12.1
P/BV (x)
7.4
5.4
4.5
3.8
Net dividend yield (%)
1.7
5.4
3.8
4.1
ROAE (%)
56.0
54.5
37.1
33.8
ROAA (%)
25.6
32.9
23.3
21.0
EV/EBITDA (x)
8.8
10.4
8.6
7.8
Net debt/equity (%)
net cash
net cash
net cash
net cash








MACRO RESEARCH






Invest Asean
by Chew Hann Wong


The Corporates Present





Invest Malaysia KL 2016, which saw a turnout of more than 2,000 people on Tuesday 12 Apr, continued into its second day yesterday, with the participation of 56 listed corporates across various sectors of the economy. Of this total, 18 of the corporates were featured in group presentations, while the others participated in 1x1/small group meetings with investors. All in, these 56 companies have a total market capitalization of MYR905.5b.












Technical Research
by Lee Cheng Hooi


Index may re-test 1,726





The FBMKLCI rose 8.11 points to close at 1,723.11 yesterday, while the FBMEMAS and FBM100 gained 38.10 and 38.57 points respectively. In terms of market breadth, the gainer-to-loser ratio was 479-to-379, while 369 counters were unchanged. A total of 1.85b shares were traded valued at MYR2.06b.







NEWS


Outside Malaysia:

U.S: Wholesale prices unexpectedly fell in March for a second month, showing inflation is still well-contained as Federal Reserve officials weigh whether further increases in the benchmark interest rate are warranted. The 0.1% drop in the producer-price index followed a 0.2% decrease in February, a Labor Department report showed. Over the past 12 months, wholesale prices fell 0.1%. (Source: Bloomberg)

U.S: Retail sales unexpectedly fall as consumers scrimp. Retailers unexpectedly fell in March, raising concern consumer spending is losing momentum. The 0.3% drop in purchases followed little change the prior month, Commerce Department figures showed. The decrease was led by the biggest drop in demand for autos in a year, and cutbacks at clothing stores, Internet merchants and restaurants. (Source: Bloomberg)

E.U: Industrial production fell the most in 18 months in February, giving up some of the surge seen at the start of the year. Data from Eurostat showed output declined 0.8%, more than the 0.7% economists had forecast in a Bloomberg survey. The decline followed a revised 1.9% jump in January, which was the biggest since 2010. While the latest drop is partly technical, surveys and confidence indicators suggest there may be more weakness ahead. (Source: Bloomberg)





Other news:

Muhibbah Engineering: JV bags MYR88m job to build domestic terminal in Cambodia. Muhibbah Engineering’s JV with France’s Vinci Group has awarded a USD23m (MYR88m) contract to its construction unit to build a new domestic terminal at Phnom Penh International Airport in Cambodia. The construction unit is 70% owned by Vinci Construction Grands Projects and 30% by Muhibbah. Construction work on the new domestic terminal will commence immediately and is expected to be completed by the fourth quarter of 2017. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

CIMB: Nears bancassurance deal with Sompo Japan. CIMB Group is close to signing an agreement with insurer Sompo Japan Nipponkoa Holdings Inc to distribute general insurance products in Southeast Asia, in a deal worth around USD200m. CIMB had been seeking proposals from insurers to distribute their general insurance products in four Southeast Asian markets. The so-called bancassurance model is lucrative for banks because global insurers are willing to pay hefty fees for access to lenders' branch networks and exposure to emerging markets' growing middle classes to sell life, property, motor and fire insurance. (Source: The Star)

Texchem: Buys Sushi King chain in Vietnam. Texchem Resources is acquiring the Sushi King Japanese chain in Vietnam for VND7.8b (MYR1.37m) cash, and assuming a debt of USD1.75m (MYR6.76m). Its 70.35%-owned subsidiary Sushi Kin Sdn Bhd on Tuesday received an enterprise registration certificate from the business registration division under the Department of Planning and Investment of Ho Chi Minh City to acquire Vietnam-based Sushi King Co Ktd. The purchase consideration will be paid in cash via Sushi kin’s internal funds. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)


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