Tuesday, January 12, 2016

[Maybank IB] Today's Research - Malaysia






Regional Plantations | Off to a good start
Chee Ting Ong









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Malaysia | Slower than expected…
Suhaimi Ilias







Malaysia | A very bad sinking feeling
Lee Cheng Hooi








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SECTOR RESEARCH






Sector Note
by Chee Ting Ong


Off to a good start





The Malaysian Palm Oil Board’s (MPOB) Dec 2015 stockpile provided some relief with seasonally low CPO output and resilient exports. We anticipate further decline in stockpile in the coming months on seasonally low production. While maintaining our 12M NEUTRAL view, we advocate a trading strategy in 1H16, as El Nino provides for a situational play. BUYs in the region are AALI, TAH, SOP, and BPlant. SELL FGV.









MACRO RESEARCH






Economics Research
by Suhaimi Ilias


Slower than expected…





Industrial production (IP) growth in Nov 2015 slowed sharply to +1.8% YoY on lower mining output (-4.1% YoY) and slower growth in manufacturing output (+4.1% YoY) and electricity output (+2.0% YoY). It also slowed to +3.0% YoY in Oct-Nov 2015 (3Q 2015: +4.7% YoY), signaling further slowdown in real GDP growth in 4Q 2015 (3Q 2015: 4.7% YoY; 2Q 2015: +4.9% YoY; 1Q 2015: +5.6% YoY).












Technical Research
by Lee Cheng Hooi


A very bad sinking feeling





The FBMKLCI lost 20.02 points to close at 1,637.59 yesterday, while the FBMEMAS and FBM100 fell 128.63 points and 128.46 points, respectively. In terms of market breadth, the gainer-to-loser ratio was 301-to-656, while 303 counters were unchanged. A total of 1.91b shares were traded valued at MYR1.95b.






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