Thursday, September 10, 2015

[Maybank Kim Eng] Today's Research - Malaysia

10 Sep 2015, Thursday


g Macro Research
- Malaysia: Technical - Above 1,600 on higher volumes
| Lee Cheng Hooi
- Malaysia: Other News -
| Malaysia Research Team



MY: Sunway Construction Group (SCGB MK)
Share Price: MYR1.09
Target Price: MYR1.30
Recommendation: Buy


Li Shin Chai
(603) 2297 8684
lishin.c@maybank-ib.com


Initiation: Largest pure construction play

FYE Dec (MYR m)
FY13A
FY14A
FY15E
FY16E
Revenue
1,839.6
1,880.7
2,279.0
2,174.8
EBITDA
112.7
151.2
188.9
197.8
Core net profit
94.4
114.2
118.3
128.5
Core EPS (sen)
7.3
8.8
9.2
9.9
Core EPS growth (%)
37.6
20.9
3.6
8.6
Net DPS (sen)
2.6
30.5
1.6
3.5
Core P/E (x)
14.9
12.3
11.9
11.0
P/BV (x)
2.3
4.2
3.9
3.2
Net dividend yield (%)
2.3
28.0
1.5
3.2
ROAE (%)
16.1
24.1
34.1
31.9
ROAA (%)
6.5
8.4
8.8
9.0
EV/EBITDA (x)
na
na
6.5
5.9
Net debt/equity (%)
net cash
net cash
net cash
net cash
§  A leading, established construction group with enhanced capabilities and stronger track record.
§  Positive orderbook replenishment potential from Malaysia’s development plan, repeat clientele and Sunway Berhad.
§  Initiate coverage with a BUY rating and MYR1.30 TP.

MY: AirAsia Bhd (AIRA MK)
Share Price: MYR1.11
Target Price: MYR2.05
Recommendation: Buy


Mohshin Aziz
(603) 2297 8692
mohshin.aziz@maybank-ib.com

Company Update: Ghost of the GFC past

FYE Dec (MYR m)
FY13A
FY14A
FY15E
FY16E
Revenue
5,111.8
5,415.7
5,392.4
5,547.2
EBITDAR
1,704.8
1,769.1
2,121.2
2,071.6
Core net profit
556.7
405.3
710.5
724.7
Core EPS (sen)
20.0
14.6
25.5
26.0
Core EPS growth (%)
(20.5)
(27.2)
75.2
2.0
Net DPS (sen)
4.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Core P/E (x)
5.5
7.6
4.3
4.3
P/BV (x)
0.6
0.7
0.6
0.5
Net dividend yield (%)
3.6
0.0
0.0
0.0
ROAE (%)
10.7
8.5
14.5
13.0
ROAA (%)
3.3
2.2
3.5
3.6
EV/EBITDAR (x)
8.7
10.7
5.8
5.8
Net debt/equity (%)
175.5
249.9
177.9
149.2
§  Fears of AirAsia heading into deep financial trouble similar to the 2008-09 scenario are prevalent among many shareholders.
§  We see no such risk - balance sheet and cashflows are much sturdier than back in 2008-09.
§  Fears overblown and stock is trading significantly below its intrinsic value. Maintain BUY.

MY: Technical

Lee Cheng Hooi
(603) 2297 8694
chenghooi.lee@maybank-ib.com

Technical Research: Above 1,600 on higher volumes


§  MIECO - On a very strong upward Wave 5 move.
§  FBMKLCI – Went above 1,600 on higher volumes
§  Supports of 1,576 and 1,600 may be zones to nibble.
§  Resistances of 1,603 and 1,645 will cap rebounds.

MY: Other News

Malaysia Research Team

Economics Research:


Outside Malaysia
   U.S: Job openings surge to record while hiring cools
   Brazil: Credit rating cut to junk by S&P amid budget strain
   U.K: Industrial production unexpectedly declined and goods exports plunged
   India: Modi moves closer to tapping gold hoard to cut imports
Malaysia
   Titijaya Land: Scaling down launches
   Axiata: Malaysia’s Axiata and Bharti may merge Bangladeshi ops
   TH Heavy: Appoints Nusral Danir as CEO

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