SAUDI ARABIA: Softer oil
prices and wider weaker market sentiments may have dampened Islamic debt
capital market activities in Saudi Arabia so far this year however the
market may witness a change in pace over the next few months as investors
adjust to higher level of market risks.
Twelve months rolling data from Dealogic shows that Saudi Arabia has so far
issued US$3.1 billion-worth of Sukuk, a far cry from the US$13.3 billion
brought to market over the same period in 2014. And while macroeconomic
conditions may be less-than-favorable for the Islamic bond segment (low oil
prices, currency devaluation risks), it seems that institutions are growing
increasingly less risk-averse, leading them to tap the segment.
“Major issuers for Sukuk namely, GCC and Malaysia (with shares of 37.7% and
42.3% respectively) are more dependent on oil sector, but oil prices move
in opposite directions with Sukuk Index since July 2015,” noted RHB Global
Sukuk Markets Research in its latest commentary. “The correlation
coefficient dropped as low as -0.51 seen on the 4th August, and
it may suggest investors are willing to take more risk despite persistent
low oil prices, in our opinion.”
Just this week, it was confirmed that Abdullah Al Othaim Real Estate
Investment and Development Company (OREIDCO) privately issued a SAR1
billion (US$266.46 million) Sukuk – marking the shopping mall-owner’s debut
into the Islamic capital market. The five-year facility, managed by GIB
Capital, NCB Capital and Saudi Fransi Capital (in their capacity as joint lead
managers and joint bookrunners), was priced at six-month SAIBOR+1.7%.
However, it is power company Saudi Electricity’s proposed Sukuk of up to
US$1.5 billion which has the market talking.
“It is positive news, after a quiet first half to 2015, that Saudi
Electricity has announced that it will issue more Sukuk,” opined Jason
Kabel, the head of fixed income at Bank of London and The Middle East.
“Saudi Electricity is currently as close as investors can get to Saudi
sovereign risk and as such investors will not be put off by the poor
performance of this Sukuk when compared to similar issuance.”
Another Sukuk facility to look forward to is Dammam-based Arab Petroleum
Investments Corp’s maiden dollar Sukuk sale. The first tranche of the US$3
billion program is expected to be launched this year, paving the way for
more issuers to follow suit and also for the multilateral development bank
to position itself to become a regular international Sukuk issuer.
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