Tuesday, August 11, 2015

Daily FX Update, 11 August 2015

v  US’s Atlanta Fed President Lockhart states that Fed is ‘close’ to hiking interest rate
v  US’s Fed Vice Chairman Fischer said U.S. inflation is only temporarily “very low”
v  Malaysia's industrial production growth slows in line with market expectation
v  Japan posts a current account surplus of JPY558.6 billion in June
v  China’s exports decrease 8.3% y/y in July.
·         US – Atlanta Fed President Lockhart noted that the US economy has “made great gains and is approaching an acceptable normal” and that “policy should shortly acknowledge this reality”. He also reiterated his comments from last week that monthly dataflow is unlikely to significantly influence his decision on when to commence policy normalisation.
·         US – Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Fischer stated that while inflation remains low, a major part of that is “temporary” and that the price of oil and raw materials will “stabilise at some point”. That said, he added that “employment has been rising pretty fast relative to previous performance, and yet inflation is very low…and the concern about this situation is not to move before we see inflation, as well as employment, returning to more normal levels”.
·         Currency – A reversal in commodity prices proved more important to markets than a reaffirmation of an imminent start to the US tightening cycle and the USD eased back with gains lead by commodity currencies.
·         Equity – US equities bounced back from last week’s declines, buoyed by gains in Chinese stock markets, a bounce in oil prices, and the announcement that Berkshire Hathaway would purchase Precision Castparts for US$37.2 billion.
·         Rate – US and core euro area sovereign bonds sold off on light volumes, with moves supported by the more positive tone on equity markets. US 10-year yields rose by 5 bps to 2.23%, although the 2-year yield was little changed.
·         Energy – Crude oil prices were stronger with Brent outperforming WTI. The spread between Brent and WTI reached $US5.4 per barrel after the strong price rally late in the day.
Precious Metal – Gold prices rose to a three-week high and other precious metals rallied Monday, after a Federal Reserve member’s comments threw into question the timing of the central bank’s expected rate increases. Gold prices were traded higher by 1.16% above $US1100. 


INDICATIVE MAJOR CURRENCIES

Last Close
 8.05 am Snapshot
       Bid                   Offer
Expected Ranges for Today
        Low                       High
USD/MYR
3.9365
3.9130
3.9440
3.9110
3.9560
JPY/MYR (100)
3.1601
3.1350
3.1660
3.1300
3.1900
SGD/MYR
2.8486
2.8260
2.8580
2.8200
2.8800
EUR/MYR
4.3400
4.3130
4.3440
4.2900
4.3800
AUD/MYR
2.9205
2.8970
2.9280
2.8800
2.9600
GBP/MYR
6.1386
6.1080
6.1400
6.0800
6.2000
USD/JPY
124.57
124.44
124.85
124.04
125.04
EUR/USD
1.1025
1.0860
1.1170
1.0960
1.1070
AUD/USD
0.7419
0.7260
0.7570
0.7370
0.7470
 

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