Friday, August 7, 2015

AmWatch - Westports Holdings : >30% container tariff hike approved over 2 phases BUY, 7 Aug 2015

STOCK FOCUS OF THE DAY
Westports Holdings  : >30% container tariff hike approved over 2 phases              BUY

We maintain BUY on Westports, with an unchanged fair value of RM4.87/share, a 15% discount to our upward revised DCF-derived value of RM5.73/share.
Our fair value represents a 25x PE against FY16F EPS. This follows the government’s approval of its proposed tariff hikes. The Transport Ministry’s letter of approval dated 5 Aug was addressed to the Port Klang Authority, and was gazetted on 12 June 2015 and 3 Aug 2015.
The revised tariff covers container terminal handling charges for import, export, transhipment, shifting and re-stow, storage charges for container and handling charges for heavy lift or uncontainerised cargo.
To be implemented in two phases, the hike entails an average increase of ~15% on key container tariff items, particularly terminal handling charges, which will take effect on 1 Sept 2015, and an another average increase of ~15% with effect from 1 Sept 2018.
We believe the rate hikes are justified given that the group has expanded operations over the years, with the addition of two more container terminals and in its announcement yesterday, Westports said the last revision of the key container tariff items at Port Klang was ~14 years ago. The rate increase is higher than our previous assumption.
We had earlier imputed a 15% hike in our implied gateway container rates with effect from FY16. We have upped our FY15F earnings by 3% (stemming from a 4% upward revision in our gateway rate assumption).
Reiterate BUY for earnings growth prospects from the expansion of the port and the rate hikes for both gateway and transshipment traffic.

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