STOCK FOCUS OF THE DAY
SapuraKencana Petroleum : Strong rig charter rate in
Congo BUY
We maintain our BUY recommendation on SapuraKencana
Petroleum Bhd, with an unchanged fair value of RM5.70/share, based on an FY15
PE of 22x. SapuraKencana has secured a significantly higher daily charter rate
of US$296k for its semi-tender assisted rig SKD Berani from Total in Congo at a
value of US$108mil for a 1-year contract which excludes an option to extend for
another year. This is 74% higher than the day rate of US$170k, which SKD
Berani, built in 2006 by Seadrill, was charging Chevron in Indonesia last year.
We believe this stems from strong demand for this niche rig segment in West
Africa.
The group also extended the contracts for 3 other rigs
involving a semi-tender rig SKD Pelaut, and 2 tender-assisted rig, SKD Setia
and SKT T-12. SKD Pelaut secured an extension contract valued at US$92mil for 2
years from Brunei Shell, SKD Setia US$164mil for 2 years from Cabinda Gulf Oil
Company Limited in Angola and SKD T-12 US$90mil for 2 years from Chevron
Thailand. For SKD Pelaut, the new daily charter rate translates to a 5%
increase to US$126k; SKD T-12’s rate increased by 3% to US$123.2k while SKD
Setia’s rate was largely flat at US$224.6k.
We estimate that the higher charter rate for SKD Berani
could raise SapuraKencana’s FY15F earnings by 11%. If the rig could renew its
charter at the same rate, earnings will rise by 11%-12% in FY16F-FY17F. For
now, we maintain FY15F-FY17F earnings as the higher rig earnings may be offset
by weaker-than-expected engineering, procurement, construction, installation
and commissioning works in 1HFY15F due to the slow initial roll-out of Petronas
projects under the Pan-Malaysia T&I job scope. We remain positive on
SapuraKencana’s prospects given the group’s game-changing US$898mil (RM2.8bil)
acquisition of Newfield International’s oil & gas production blocks in
Peninsula Malaysia, Sabah & Sarawak.
Others :
Banking Sector : Continuing rise in foreign holdings of MGS
in February 2014 NEUTRAL
QUICK TAKE
Banking Sector : No directive by regulators to raise auto
loan rates NEUTRAL
NEWS HIGHLIGHTS
AirAsia : Inks entertainment deal worth RM109mil
CIMB Group Holdings : Involved in Dim Sum bond
Banking Sector : Bank Negara says it did not direct banks to
raise interest rates for car loans
Aviation Sector : IATA: Airlines should look at
livestreaming flight data
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