Wednesday, March 19, 2014

Regional Daily, Maybank KE (2014-03-19)


Daily
19 March 2014
TOP VIEWS
  • Bekasi Fajar (BEST IJ) | Flash Note
  • Robinsons Retail Holdings (RRHI PM) | Results Review
  • MY & SG Oil & Gas Sector | OVERWEIGHT
Bekasi Fajar (BEST IJ)
CFO resigns
Share Price: IDR655 | Target Price: IDR500 (-24%) | MCap (USD): 557M | ADTV: USD1M
  • Maintain HOLD with TP of IDR500 as company announces resignation of CFO and Non-Affiliated Director, Mr Wilson Effendy.
  • Note that CEO of sister company Alam Sutera (ASRI), Mr Tri Ramadi, also resigned in November 2013.
  • We think the resignation is a loss to the company. In addition to being CFO, Mr Effendy was a good communicator with investors.
Robinsons Retail Holdings (RRHI PM)
Expansion gaining momentum
Share Price: PHP67.60 | Target Price: PHP77.50 (+16%) | MCap (USD): 2.1B | ADTV: USD2M
  • No surprises in 2013 results. Maintain BUY and Street-high PHP77.50 target price.
  • Adjusted earnings grow 151% in 2013, up 124% YoY in 4Q13.
  • Higher sales and margins to remain key drivers in 2014F.
Sector update
MY & SG Oil & Gas Sector
Ideas-driven
  • Interest is wide ranging but most funds tend to be bottom-up driven and stock-selective.
  • We see strong thematics (i.e. rig building, drilling, OSV upcycles, PETRONAS capex) driving the sector this year.
  • Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top BUYs are Bumi Armada, Dialog, SAKP, Perisai and Perdana for Malaysia, and SembCorp Marine, Ezion, Mermaid and Nam Cheong for Singapore.
COMPANY NOTES
  • Tata Consultancy Services(TCS IN) | Company visit
  • Mphasis(MPHL IN) | Results Review
  • Q&M Dental Group (QNM SP) | Company update
  • Suntec REIT (SUN SP) | Rating Change
Tata Consultancy Services(TCS IN)
Maintains strong demand outlook
Share Price: INR2,123 | Target Price: INR2,590 (+22%) | MCap (USD): 68.1B | ADTV (USD): 4M
  • TCS reiterates at analyst meeting that the business environment for IT outsourcing remains stronger for FY15 vs. FY14.
  • We expect TCS to deliver 4QFY14 revenue growth (in USD) of 3.5% QoQ and 17.1% YoY.
  • Maintain BUY with TP of INR2,590. We remain confident on TCS ability to outperform the industry in FY15-16. Remains one of our top picks among IT services large-caps.
  • Full Report Will Be Out Soon
Mphasis(MPHL IN)
Non-HP business to drive growth
Share Price: INR402 | Target Price: INR492(+22%) | MCap (USD): 1.4B | ADTV (USD): 0.6M
  • Maintain BUY with TP of INR492 based on PER of 12x FY14F (20% discount to peers).
  • 1QFY14 (Yr to Oct) EPS of INR8.9, inched down 1.7% QoQ but up marginally 1.4% YoY, in line with our expectations. Revenue (in USD) flat QoQ.
  • Trades at attractive valuation at current PER of 10x FY14F and dividend yield of 4.6%. Utilisation of net cash of INR21b (25% of MCap) for acquisitions remains a catalyst.
Q&M Dental Group (QNM SP)
Complementary acquisitions
Share Price: SGD0.40 | Target Price: SGD0.48 (+20%) | MCap (USD): 192M | ADTV (USD): 0.7M
  • Q&M has announced the EPS-accretive acquisition of Foo & Associates Dental Surgeons in Singapore at 10.5x P/E.
  • It is also one step closer to completing the deal for Qinhuangdao Aidite High-Technical Ceramics in China.
  • Longer-term impact of the complementary acquisitions will outweigh the short-term positive contribution from Dr Foo.
Suntec REIT (SUN SP)
Costly way to pare down debt
Share Price: SGD1.69 | Target Price: SGD1.63(-4%) | MCap (USD): 3.0B | ADTV (USD): 9M
  • SGD350m private placement exercise to reduce FY14 debt represents 9.6-9.9% pre-placement dilution.
  • Aggregate leverage will fall to 35% from 39.1%, with debt expiration rising to 3.6 years from 2.4 years.
  • FY14E-16E DPU to drop 7.3-8.4%. Downgrade to HOLD.
  • Full Report Will Be Out Soon
   

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