Monday, March 24, 2014

Malaysia Daily, Maybank KE (2014-03-24)

Daily
24 March 2014
COMPANY UPDATE
Sarawak Oil Palms: Maintain Buy
Under-researched, undervalued  Shariah-compliant
  • We recently hosted SOP on non-deal roadshows in KL and Singapore, and met over 20 fund managers.
  • We expect SOP to deliver 12% 2013-16 CAGR in FFB output, with its young palms to drive near-term earnings.
  • Maintain BUY with a new MYR6.90 TP(+10sen) on unchanged 15x 2015 PER; FY14-16 core net profits raised by 0.6%-1.8%.
MISC Bhd: Maintain Buy
Sells logistics operation  Shariah-compliant
  • The MYR250m sale value implies 1x BV and 15x 2013 PER.
  • Marginal impact to earnings. This non-core business accounted for sub-2% of group pretax profit in 2013.
  • Maintain Buy and MYR7.20 SOP target price.
Glomac: Maintain Hold
Strengthening foothold in Johor  Shariah-compliant
  • We are positive on Glomacss latest land acquisition in Kulai.
  • Maintaining earnings forecasts, TP pending further details.
  • Our TP is MYR1.20 (0.6x P/RNAV; MYR2.00 RNAV); HOLD.
Technicals
Price volatility emerges

The FBM KLCI rebounded 15.36 points WoW as some local buying emerged just above 1,800 last week. The market moved up against the wild gyrations of the global markets.
The index closed at 1,820.48 last Friday, as volume turned down to 1.21b to 1.75b shares traded.
Click here for full report »
Other Local News
Oil & Gas: Petronas sets aggressive targets for overseas ops as local production dwindles. Datuk Wee Yiaw Hin, the executive vice-president of exploration and production, has set his team up for some aggressive targets. Among them are average production growth of 3.5% per year up to 2020 and a reserve replacement ratio (RRR) of 1.1 times. RRR is the amount of oil and gas added to a companys proven reserves versus what it produces during the year. A ratio of 1.1 indicates that Petronas has a good balance between hydrocarbons produced and discovered. Petronas achieved a RRR of 1.3 times in 2013. (Source: The Star)

Automotive: Naza ready for AP-less market. The Naza group is ready for a market without the approved permit (AP) system, whether in 2015 or 2020 as it already owns franchises and has a firm platform in place, according to Naza joint-group executive chairman Datuk Wira SM Faisal SM Nasimuddin. The status of APs in Malaysia continue to be in limbo, eight years after it was first announced that it would eventually be phased out. Under the recently unveiled National Automotive Policy (NAP), the issue of AP abolishment was still unresolved, with the government saying that more time was needed to study the issue. (Source: The Star)

Banking: Reclassifying Islamic banking deposits. Islamic banks are transitioning into what many consider as the most difficult part of the Islamic Financial Service Act (IFSA) 2013. Before the IFSA, all deposits with an Islamic bank were guarantee by Perbadanan Insurans Deposit Malaysia. Under the new Act, there will be no guarantee for all money that is going into what is classified as an investment account
a mudarabah, musyarakah and wakalah. Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) has given the banks two years to make the transition. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Media: Adex rises 15.8% on positive sentiment. Continued positive sentiment saw year-to-date (YTD) February 2014 advertising expenditure (adex) rising 15.8% to MYR1.96b from MYR1.70b in the previous corresponding period. According to Nielsen Malaysia
s data, the YTD adex growth for 2014 was led by cinemas and pay TV, which rose 65.1% and 30.1% respectively. The product/service categories with the highest ad spend in the first two months of the year were local government institutions, cinema and movie advertising, fast-food outlets, haircare products and womens facial care. The top three advertisers were Unilever, Nestle and movie producer/distributor MM2 Entertainment, which was ranked 676th a year ago. (Source: The Star)
Outside Malaysia
U.K: Posts larger-than-forecast deficit in February as government spending increased at its fastest annual pace for almost a year. Expenditure exceeded revenue by GBP 9.3b (USD 15.3b), compared with GBP 9.2b a year earlier, the Office for National Statistics said in London. (Source: Bloomberg)

Thailand: Central bank cuts 2014 GDP growth forecast to 2.7% from 3%. Bank of Thailand cuts 2014 GDP forecast for 4th time since Oct. as political unrest reduced local demand and tourism. Latest estimate compares with 3% prediction on Jan. 22. Central bank in July last year estimated 2014 growth at 5% before cutting forecasts. (Source: Bloomberg)
   
Key Indices
Value
YTD (%)
Daily (%)
KLCI
1,820.5
(2.5)
0.1
JCI
4,700.2
10.0
0.0
STI
3,073.4
(3.0)
0.5
SET
1,360.5
4.8
(0.1)
HSI
21,436.7
(8.0)
1.2
KOSPI
1,934.9
(3.8)
0.8
TWSE
8,577.2
(0.4)
(0.2)




DJIA
16,302.8
(1.7)
(0.2)
S&P
1,866.5
1.0
(0.3)
FTSE
6,557.2
(2.8)
0.2




MYR/USD
3.3
1.0
0.3
CPO (1mth)
2,822.0
7.4
(1.5)
Crude Oil (1mth)
99.5
1.1
0.0
Gold
1,334.7
11.1
0.5












TOP STOCK PICKS



Buy rated large caps

Price
Target
Tenaga

11.92
14.00
Genting Msia

4.26
4.74
HLBK

14.00
16.40
AMMB Holdings

7.05
8.50
Bumi Armada

3.87
5.00
IJM Corp

5.98
6.75
Time dotCom

3.85
4.40
MPHB Capital

1.82
2.42
Cahya Mata Swak

9.72
10.50













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