Company Update � Gamuda (BUY, maintain)
- Encore
We continue to expect the MMC-Gamuda JV to win the
underground works and Project Development Partner contracts for Line 2 due to
its strong competitive position. In property, we believe the Malaysian market
is heading for a cyclical slowdown but expect Gamuda, mainly a developer of
large townships, to weather the slowdown well. A slowdown leading to more
moderate land prices might work in its favour, as it still intends to augment
its property land bank. From the various press reports, we understand that
the offer for SPLASH is unlikely to be less than RM1,834.6, and as Gamuda is
also agreeable to an arbitrated valuation based on internationally accepted
methodologies, the offer could be higher. Furthermore, Gamuda Water is likely
to continue to be the O&M provider should the government invoke Section
114 of WSIA to forcibly take over the four concessionaires in Selangor. We
continue to like Gamuda for its good order book visibility, bulging property
GDV and income as well as steady concession profits and potential
monetisation of its concession assets. Maintain BUY.
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