Wednesday, December 7, 2016

Telco: U Mobile to ramp up strategic partnerships in FY17. The company will the ramping up strategic partnerships next year. According to a statement released yesterday, the company expects industry competition to intensify in 2017, although it continues to enjoy growth.


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COMPANY RESEARCH





Rating Change





Berjaya Food (BFD MK)
by Kevin Wong





Share Price:
MYR1.62
Target Price:
MYR1.65
Recommendation:
Hold




2QFY17: Kenny Rogers continued to disappoint

2QFY4/17 results were below expectations but second interim net DPS of 1.0sen was in line. While topline growth was on track, bottomline was impacted by higher opex namely from Kenny Rogers Roasters (KRR). We lower our FY17-19 earnings forecasts by 12%-17% and TP by 35sen to MYR1.65 (pegged to 23x FY18 FD PER). Downgrade to HOLD as we turn cautious on BFood’s near-term outlook whereby consumer sentiment could remain soft and margins to remain supressed from the weak MYR.



FYE Apr (MYR m)
FY15A
FY16A
FY17E
FY18E
Revenue
376.8
554.4
600.5
671.0
EBITDA
214.2
79.7
79.4
88.1
Core net profit
25.7
21.3
21.3
27.3
Core FDEPS (sen)
6.8
5.6
5.6
7.2
Core FDEPS growth(%)
(2.4)
(17.6)
(0.0)
28.5
Net DPS (sen)
5.8
4.3
2.6
3.3
Core FD P/E (x)
23.9
29.0
29.0
22.5
P/BV (x)
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
Net dividend yield (%)
3.5
2.6
1.6
2.0
ROAE (%)
63.7
5.4
5.3
6.6
ROAA (%)
5.7
2.9
2.8
3.6
EV/EBITDA (x)
5.1
11.1
9.9
8.9
Net debt/equity (%)
39.8
49.3
47.4
44.0










Company Update





Inari Amertron (INRI MK)
by Ivan Yap





Share Price:
MYR3.30
Target Price:
MYR4.10
Recommendation:
Buy




Enabler of future applications

We recently hosted Inari’s CEO, Mr Lau Kean Cheong, on a 1-day NDR in Singapore to meet 12 fund managers. While feedbacks on its existing operations were positive, there were some concerns on Inari’s venture into the iris recognition segment whereby adoption is still at infancy stage. Nonetheless, we are confident that Inari is on a growth path, riding on necessary demand for its key client’s products to power data-intensive applications of the future. Reiterate BUY with an unchanged MYR4.10 TP.



FYE Jun (MYR m)
FY15A
FY16A
FY17E
FY18E
Revenue
933.1
1,040.9
1,405.8
1,589.5
EBITDA
187.3
203.0
284.7
343.8
Core net profit
147.7
155.8
213.7
250.3
Core EPS (sen)
15.9
16.0
21.8
25.6
Core EPS growth (%)
37.1
0.5
36.9
17.1
Net DPS (sen)
7.1
8.4
9.8
11.5
Core P/E (x)
20.8
20.7
15.1
12.9
P/BV (x)
5.7
4.7
4.0
3.4
Net dividend yield (%)
2.2
2.5
3.0
3.5
ROAE (%)
38.4
24.3
28.8
28.8
ROAA (%)
22.1
18.2
22.4
22.6
EV/EBITDA (x)
11.9
13.4
10.8
8.8
Net debt/equity (%)
net cash
net cash
net cash
net cash








NEWS


Outside Malaysia:

U.S: Trade gap widened to a four-month high in October as overseas sales weakened and American companies imported more equipment and consumer goods. The gap grew to USD 42.6b from the prior month’s revised USD 36.2b, Commerce Department figures showed. The 17.8% increase from September was the largest since March 2015. Stronger demand for imported merchandise indicates trade will weigh on U.S. growth after net exports in the third quarter contributed the most since the end of 2013. What’s more, the latest rally in the dollar could squelch prospects for a pickup in exports as American-made goods become more expensive overseas. (Source: Bloomberg)

E.U: Pushes U.K. to strike Brexit deal before transition talk. The European Union signaled Prime Minister Theresa May must first strike a deal for the U.K.’s post-Brexit trade ties with the bloc or lose out on a transitional phase that banks and businesses want. As both sides prepare to face off in the new year, Michel Barnier, the EU’s chief negotiator, told reporters that there might be “some point” to granting British industries a period to adjust to the new arrangements after Brexit, but that would depend on a permanent trade plan being agreed. (Source: Bloomberg)

Germany: Factory orders surged in October, suggesting growth in Europe’s largest economy will accelerate at the end of the year. Orders, adjusted for seasonal swings and inflation, jumped 4.9% from September, when they fell a revised 0.3%, data from the Economy Ministry showed. Orders gained 6.3% YoY. The report adds to signs that Germany’s economy is gathering pace after a slowdown in the third quarter. (Source: Bloomberg)

Australia: Central bank kept interest rates unchanged as a global commodity upswing eases the impact of slower growth at home. Governor Philip Lowe left the cash rate at 1.5% as forecast by economists and money markets heeding his concern that further easing could destabilize an economy where households are already saddled with record debt. Traders have written off policy moves next year, while the median estimate of economists is for a cut in the third quarter. (Source: Bloomberg)





Other News:

Telco: U Mobile to ramp up strategic partnerships in FY17. The company will the ramping up strategic partnerships next year. According to a statement released yesterday, the company expects industry competition to intensify in 2017, although it continues to enjoy growth. “It is still early days for us to ascertain the impact that new entrants like webe will have on the market, but one can only imagine that next year will definitely get more interesting”, said U Mobile CEO Wong Heang Tuck. The company was awarded additional spectrum allocation (of 2X5MHz of 900MHz and 2X15MHz of 1800MHz) in Feb 2016 by the Malaysian government, for which it will pay a total of MYR1.5b. The spectrum will take effect in July 2017. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Sarawak Oil Palms: Rights issue near 18% oversubscribed. The company’s renounceable rights issue saw an oversubscription of 17.6% at the close of acceptance and payment of the rights issue on Nov 30. According to a filing with Bursa yesterday, SOP received a total of 148.9m acceptances and excess applications, of which 22.3m were oversubscribed. The company announced a rights issuance of up to 127.7m shares in July to finance its acquisition of Shin Yang Oil Palm (Sarawak) Sdn Bhd for MYR873m. The shares are expected to be listed and quoted on the main market of Bursa Securities on Dec 15. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

MKH: Expects FY17 profit to double with stronger CPO price. The property developer is aiming to double its profit in FY17 as it expects its plantation segment to perform better in view of the strong CPO price. With the higher CPO price, the company foresees its annual palm oil yield to grow from an average of 25t/ha to 28t/ha, according to its CFO Kok Siew Yin. On plans to acquire more plantation lands, the group is “seriously looking into the idea” and is very serious about the plantation segment. The group entered the plantation business in 2008 and operates 18,000ha of plantation land in East Kalimantan, Indonesia. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Hibiscus Petroleum: Focus on managing cost, enhancing production. The company will be on managing its costs and stepping up production in the Anasuria Cluster, the oil and gas group’s main asset in the UK’s North Sea. According to the managing director, Kenneth Pereira, with the oil prices slowing down, the company did not want to rely on anything and just to focus on costs and things that matter. Opex per barrel of oil equivalent (boe) for Anasuria Cluster was about USD20, and the company would be comfortable when the oil price stays above USD40. The company, which acquired 50% interest in Shell’s Anasuria Cluster on March 10, saw its net profit for 1Q17 (quarter ended Sept 30 2016) at MYR80.28, from MYR4.75m a year earlier. This was primarily due to the sale of O&G products from Anasuria, which generated revenue and gross profit of MYR53.7m and MYR28.5m respectively. (Source: The Star)


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