STOCK FOCUS OF THE DAY
KL Kepong : Responds to MP Evans’
valuation BUY
In response to MP Evans' recent statement that it is worth
GBP10.82/share, KL Kepong (KLK) said that MP Evans' valuation is illusory as it
was not supported by the market's reaction. KLK urged MP Evans'
shareholders to accept its offer of 740 pence/share. The first closing date of
the offer is 9 December 2016 and there is no certainty that this will be
extended. KLK said that it continues to support its offer price of 740
pence/share, which implies a value of US$14,100/ha for MP Evans' planted areas of
26,600ha in Indonesia.
KLK disputed MP Evans' valuation. KLK said that MP Evans did
not use precedent sales of Indonesian plantations as comparables in arriving at
its offer price of GBP10.82/share. Instead, MP Evans used precedent sales of
Malaysian and Papua New Guinean plantations, which are of higher value.
Precedent sales of majority stakes in Indonesian plantations indicated an EV of
US$10,285/ha. KLK laid out six market transactions in Indonesia this year,
which included Genting Plantations' acquisition of 3,127ha of land in West
Kalimantan for US$11,630/ha. KLK added that the land attributable to the
Indonesian smallholder co-operative schemes belonged to co-operatives and not
to MP Evans. In addition, the value of US$81mil attributed to MP Evans'
Malaysian properties is almost double the market value in MP Evans' FY15 annual
report.
KLK's EV/ha of US$14,100 for MP Evans would translate into
RM62,745, which is on par with the value of some of the oil palm estates in
Peninsular Malaysia. KLK's EV/ha of US$14,100 would also be lower than Felda
Global Ventures' purchase price of US$17,400/ha for Eagle High Plantations back
in June 2015. At 740 pence/share and assuming a 100% take-up rate, MP Evans is
not expected to contribute significantly to KLK's net profit in the short-term
due to the increase in the interest expense. KLK's borrowings are anticipated
to climb from RM4.6bil to RM6.9bil as the group secures financing for the
acquisition of MP Evans. Maintain Buy on KLK with a fair value of RM26.75/share.
Others :
Bison Consolidated : Distribution centre
acquisition BUY
Banking Sector : 3Q16 Earnings Report Card: Stronger core
earnings with lower provisions
NEUTRAL
QUICK TAKE
Media Sector : A trifecta for media
players NEUTRAL
ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTS
Malaysia : Weak manufacturing PMI confirms our moderate
manufacturing outlook
Indonesia : Authorities will be able to steer the economy
positively
China : Growth momentum remains intact
NEWS HIGHLIGHTS
Heineken Malaysia : Idris Jala to become chairman
AirAsia : Fernandes, Kamarudin get BN nod to increase stake
Engineering Sector : Scomi Group appoints country president
for Indonesia ops
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