Tuesday, March 8, 2016

[Maybank IB] Today's Research - Malaysia






Malaysia Banking | A somber mood
Desmond Ch'ng









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Malaysia | Stable during Feb 2016
Suhaimi Ilias







Malaysia | Profit-taking above 1,700
Lee Cheng Hooi








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SECTOR RESEARCH






Sector Note
by Desmond Ch'ng


A somber mood





The mood conveyed by management teams at recent bank analyst briefings has generally been a somber one, the consensus being that 2016 will continue to be a challenging year. We project 5% 2016 core earnings growth and while valuations have come off across the board, these are matched by lower ROE projections. We remain NEUTRAL on the sector – BUY AFG, HL Bank and HLFG; SELL AMMB.









MACRO RESEARCH






Economics Research
by Suhaimi Ilias


Stable during Feb 2016





External reserve was unchanged at USD95.6b (MYR410.5b) in 29 Feb 2016 vs 15 Feb 2016 and up marginally from USD95.5 at end-Jan 2016. Latest tally is equivalent to 8.3 months of retained imports and 1.2x of short term external debt.












Technical Research
by Lee Cheng Hooi


Profit-taking above 1,700





The FBMKLCI gained 5.44 points to close at 1,697.93 yesterday, while the FBMEMAS and FBM100 rose 1.12 points and 7.79 points, respectively. In terms of market breadth, the gainer-to-loser ratio was 320-to-591, while 283 counters were unchanged. A total of 2.44b shares were traded valued at MYR2.45b.







NEWS


Outside Malaysia:

U.S: Labor Conditions Index less rosy than payrolls data. U.S. labor-market conditions, as measured by the Federal Reserve’s barometer, fell 2.4% MoM in February, its fourth consecutive drop. The decline sent the index to its lowest since 2009 and stands in contrast to the better-than-expected gains in non-farm payrolls seen over the past few months. The index, created by the Fed, combines 19 labor indicators in an attempt to capture a broad and more robust description of developments in the labor market and was lauded by Fed Chair Janet Yellen in a 2014 speech. (Source: Bloomberg)

U.S: Borrowing by consumers rises least since November 2013 as Americans’ outstanding credit-card debt dropped for the first time in nearly a year. The USD 10.5b advance in total credit followed a revised USD 21.4b gain in the previous month, Federal Reserve figures showed. Revolving debt, which includes credit cards, declined USD 1.1b, the first decrease since February 2015. (Source: Bloomberg)

E.U: The ECB bought EUR 62.1b (USD 68b) of debt in February, in the 12th month of a quantitative-easing program that has so far brought policy makers no nearer to their inflation goal. Holdings of public and private-sector debt climbed to EUR 774b, data on the ECB’s website showed. The central bank plans to buy an average of EUR 60b a month of bonds as it tries to revive inflation in the 19-nation euro area. (Source: Bloomberg)

Germany: Factory orders fell for a second month in January in a sign that a global slowdown and weak domestic pricing power may be hurting Europe’s largest economy. Orders, adjusted for seasonal swings and inflation, dropped 0.1% from the prior month, when they slid 0.2%, data from the Economy Ministry showed. Orders climbed 1.1% YoY. (Source: Bloomberg)

H.K: Residential home sales plunged 70% in February to a 25-year low, as falling prices and economic uncertainty deterred buyers. Last month, 1,807 homes were sold in Hong Kong, compared with 6,027 a year earlier, according to government statistics. Home sales fell from 2,045 in January, the data show. Property prices have declined 10% from their September highs amid uncertainty over the economy at home and in China, possible interest-rate increases and plans by the government to boost housing supply in the next five years. Senior Hong Kong government officials have ruled out relaxing property curbs, which include extra stamp duties and caps on mortgage levels. (Source: Bloomberg)





Other News:

AWC: Sees MYR700m revenue from renewed concession. AWC has secured a second building maintenance concession contract extension from the government, including an asset refurbishment deal, that will generate MYR700m over a 10-year period. Its unit, Ambang Wira Sdn Bhd (AWSB), yesterday executed the privatisation agreement to provide building maintenance support services and critical asset refurbishment programme (CARP) for federal government buildings in the Southern zone and Sarawak zone. The Southern zone covers the states of Malacca, Negri Sembilan and Johor. (Source: The Sun Daily)

TSR Capital: Clinches MYR269m Kwasa Damansara contract. TSR Capital has accepted a MYR268.9m contract for common infrastructure works at the Kwasa Damansara township development in Sungai Buloh. Its unit TSR Bina Sdn Bhd received on Monday the letter of award from Employees Provident Fund unit Kwasa Land Sdn Bhd, master developer of the 2,230-acre Kwasa Damansara that has a projected gross development value of MYR50b. The two-year contract is expected to be completed by March 12, 2018. (Source: The Star)

CIMB: CIMB Singapore to see more cost-cutting. CIMB Group Holdings is looking to continue optimising costs this year by reducing office floor space and introduce flexible work arrangemenrs (FWAs) for employees in its Singapore operations. CIMB Singapore is planning to give up one storey of its current office space in Singapore Land Tower in Raffles Place, where it currently occupies 13,640 sq ft over 14 floors. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)

Carimin Petroleum: Gets Petronas Carigali contract. Carimin Petroleum’s subsidiary, Carimin Engineering Services Sdn Bhd, has secured a contract for the provision of mechanical services for Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd. The project was for a duration of two years from March 2, 2016, with an option to extend for another year to March 1, 2019. The contract was on a call out basis with Petronas Carigali issuing the release order as and when there are requirements to perform the services. (Source: The Star)

MISC: Bids for LNG contracts in India. MISC is believed to be tendering for Gail (India) Ltd’s time charter of liquefied natural gas (LNG) vessel contracts. MISC is one of the three shipping groups interested to make an offer of up to 11 newly built LNG vessels required by Gail. Gail requested offers for eight firm ships, four of which can be built in overseas shipyards, while the remaining four must be built in India. The tender was first opened in mid-2014, but closed in February 2015, due to failure to attract bidders. It was reopened last September. Gail has extended the tender for a month to attract more bidders. MISC is believed to keep on participating. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)


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