Monday, May 28, 2018

FW: RHB | Malaysia | Return Of SST - Impact On Economy And Equities

 

 

 

 

Economic Research

28 May 2018

Malaysia

 

Economic Update

 

 

 

From GST to SST_Return Of SST – Impact On Economy And Equities

 

The move to zero-rate the Goods and Services Tax (GST) from 1 Jun onwards would result in a revenue loss. However, fast-tracking the Sales and Services Tax (SST) reimplementation, higher oil prices and potential cuts in expenditure may bring this loss to a more manageable MYR1.7bn, or 0.1% of GDP.

This may result in a budget deficit of 2.9% of 2018F GDP, vs 2.8% presently, if our assumption on the cut in government expenditure and the timing of the SST implementation comes through. For equities, we identify sectors that may win or lose as the transition from GST to SST takes place.

 

Economist:

Vincent Loo Yeong Hong   | +603 9280 2172

Peck Boon Soon  | +603 9280 2163

Alexander Chia  | +603 9280 8889

 

 

 

To access our recent reports please click on the links below:

 

23 May: Subdued Inflation In April; 2018 Forecasts Slashed

17 May: Slower 1Q GDP Growth; 2018 Forecast Retained

17 May: GST Zero-Rated; Transitioning To SST

14 May: March IPI Growth Steady, GDP Forecast Retained

14 May: OPR Unchanged, Rate Outlook At Risk Post-GE14

08 May: Forex Reserves Retreat In April

 

Economics Team

Arup Raha

Group Chief Economist

arup.raha@rhbgroup.com

+65 6232 3896

Peck Boon Soon

Chief ASEAN Economist

bspeck@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2163

Vincent Loo Yeong Hong

Malaysia, Singapore

vincent.loo@rhgroup.com

+603 9280 2172

Ahmad Nazmi Idrus

Indonesia

ahmad.nazmi.idrus@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2179

Aris Nazman Maslan

Thailand, Philippines , Vietnam

mohd.aris.nazman@rhbgroup.com

+603 9280 2184

 

 

 

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